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Es seien \\(p\\) und \\(q\\) die Wahrscheinlichkeiten zweier entgegengesetzter Ereignise, von denen das Eine oder das Andere eintreffen muss; mithin giebt die Entwickelung des Binoms  \\[ \\textstyle(p+q)^{\\mu}\\;=\\;\\sum A_kp^kq^{\\mu -k} \\]  die Wahrscheinlichkeiten f\u00fcr die verschiedenen Combinationen, in welchen die beiden Ereignisse bei \\(\\mu\\) Versuchen auftreten k\u00f6nnen. Es wird angenommen, dass Jemand sich verpflichtet habe, nach \\(\\mu\\) Versuchen die Summe \\(\\left( \\frac{n}{\\mu}-p \\right)^2\\) zu bezahlen, wo \\(n\\) die Anzahl der Falle bezeichnet, in denen das Ereignis, dessen Wahrscheinlichkeit \\(p\\) ist, aufgetreten.  Die mathematische Hoffnung \\(E\\) desjenigen, dem das Versprechen gemacht worden, ist augenscheinlich gleich  \\[ \\textstyle\\sum \\left( \\frac{k}{\\mu}-p \\right)^2A_kp^kq^{\\mu -k} =\\;\\frac{1}{\\mu^2}\\sum k^2A_kp^kq^{\\mu -k}-\\frac{2p}{\\mu}\\sum kA_kp^kq^{\\mu -k}+p^2\\sum A_kp^kq^{\\mu -k}; \\]  und da, wie man leicht findet,  \\[ \\begin{aligned} & \\textstyle\\sum A_kp^kq^{\\mu -k}\\;=\\;1, \\\\ & \\textstyle\\sum kA_kp^kq^{\\mu -k}\\;=\\;\\mu p, \\\\ & \\textstyle\\sum k^2A_kp^kq^{\\mu -k}\\;=\\;\\mu p+\\mu (\\mu -1)p^2, \\end{aligned} \\]  so ergiebt sich  \\[ E\\;=\\;p\\frac{(1-p)}{\\mu}\\;=\\;\\frac{pq}{\\mu}. \\]  Mit wachsendem \\(\\mu\\) convergirt also \\(E\\) gegen 0, und folglich muss auch \\(\\left( \\frac{n}{\\mu}-p \\right)\\) mit wachsendem \\(\\mu\\) gegen 0 convergiren.","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1547601$6554F4F7-C56E-40B4-9FD5-518A9D7E279B","rank":"normal"}],"P226":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"4b7275e0d4b526075acce84a242d8537e929bb2d","datavalue":{"value":"60C05","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1547601$2D299B02-8F0E-4DAE-B2B4-10588BF3A312","rank":"normal"}],"P1451":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1451","hash":"324d91f800f50999395163520ab2e318388380d1","datavalue":{"value":"2705087","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1547601$65C18083-6F7A-48DC-BE1F-48BCB070CAAE","rank":"normal"}],"P1450":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"2a25295aa36a3c22ce4fe4ca83be839cd782e47f","datavalue":{"value":"repeated trials","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1547601$BB86BD4E-BEEE-4EEB-97D3-0C1CBA91CBF1","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"35367f9d4c06db8da60759bfde56d76ef09456af","datavalue":{"value":"Bernoulli trials","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1547601$FDCF39E2-79CD-4C97-A748-002FC9C9BE09","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"357e5ec756d0f3edfd5b877483fbbd020dba3434","datavalue":{"value":"Bernoulli distribution","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1547601$BD722D52-2AB8-4C03-B0C2-26DCDAEAA6AC","rank":"normal"}],"P1460":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1460","hash":"57f7fea50d2ce1b39b695c4a1313582eed405e38","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976449,"id":"Q5976449"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1547601$CFA57DA2-6F64-4F24-8821-5C9835113B48","rank":"normal"}],"P16":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"d5eb3f1ff0ca5cfb7d584f4e5b8f6b15b8dbe29a","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6481353,"id":"Q6481353"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1547601$9B3E9E7A-0255-4245-BFCC-8E7F2112313A","rank":"normal"}]},"sitelinks":{"mardi":{"site":"mardi","title":"On the theory of repeated trials.","badges":[],"url":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/wiki/On_the_theory_of_repeated_trials."}}}}}