{"entities":{"Q159206":{"pageid":160752,"ns":120,"title":"Item:Q159206","lastrevid":56964876,"modified":"2026-03-25T00:00:11Z","type":"item","id":"Q159206","labels":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"BayesMortalityPlus"}},"descriptions":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"Bayesian Mortality Modelling"}},"aliases":{},"claims":{"P31":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P31","hash":"438d0eef0223375d3a92def8ffc6a10a8bf1ca95","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":57080,"id":"Q57080"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$8849501A-93A6-4B36-A9D5-B979789EF52D","rank":"normal"}],"P132":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P132","hash":"10edd141e119b3c38cc2aa087b8fe5922cd0eea3","datavalue":{"value":"0.1.0","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P28":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"7b9bf8a197c6fe065bbb077b828bcaf77e8988c0","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+2023-05-09T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":11,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P28"],"id":"Q159206$821C4EF2-9C84-4FD8-B88B-90BCD0934E7D","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P132","hash":"dd764dabaf036ec40584882b7f9127cdfd73d125","datavalue":{"value":"0.1.1","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P28":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"7975572978566736b85a363aff458bfba181c740","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+2023-09-06T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":11,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P28"],"id":"Q159206$CE27764E-D430-430E-B4DE-A6376CAB7685","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P132","hash":"19de1ab48eb22f13f7a49f574a021ffab63cbc7c","datavalue":{"value":"0.2.2","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P28":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"cf1fba24e920aa6baf40d2b3b21f6509cc5627fb","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+2024-02-02T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":11,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P28"],"id":"Q159206$5DF00B01-C254-4C04-B81C-B7090B77A33A","rank":"normal"}],"P229":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P229","hash":"ce47e92e8822ec207b38990f86a13ef209e58038","datavalue":{"value":"BayesMortalityPlus","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$41AA77AF-4927-4C54-8535-71F869ECAC06","rank":"normal"}],"P114":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P114","hash":"251fd109c2cd8c1ee39b48cd109c9f4b1c9fcf5c","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":13519,"id":"Q13519"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$C3AB36EC-4402-4F35-9B03-2146E0BE470C","rank":"normal"}],"P170":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P170","hash":"7405fa721e6993ce70cb96b65a1baa1e6e6d4d8a","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+2024-02-02T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":11,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$4A861CB3-68C3-4ECA-A5D4-68A38E2AA0CC","rank":"normal"}],"P19":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P19","hash":"38cef4e6e979c921c72a43dd98d282cf77056bd3","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976949,"id":"Q5976949"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$E3EB4318-90F2-4EEB-A5B8-CA3F35306F2E","rank":"normal"}],"P1459":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1459","hash":"638f4cf89c079b19c79d7fc131f1d5cb51f65221","datavalue":{"value":"Fit Bayesian graduation mortality using the Heligman-Pollard model, as seen in Heligman, L., & Pollard, J. H. (1980) <doi:10.1017/S0020268100040257> and Dellaportas, Petros, et al. (2001) <doi:10.1111/1467-985X.00202>, and dynamic linear model (Campagnoli, P., Petris, G., and Petrone, S. (2009) <doi:10.1007/b135794_2>). While Heligman-Pollard has parameters with a straightforward interpretation yielding some rich analysis, the dynamic linear model provides a very flexible adjustment of the mortality curves by controlling the discount factor value. Closing methods for both Heligman-Pollard and dynamic linear model were also implemented according to Dodd, Erengul, et al. (2018) <https://www.jstor.org/stable/48547511>. The Bayesian Lee-Carter model is also implemented to fit historical mortality tables time series to predict the mortality in the following years and to do improvement analysis, as seen in Lee, R. D., & Carter, L. R. (1992) <doi:10.1080/01621459.1992.10475265> and Pedroza, C. (2006) <doi:10.1093/biostatistics/kxj024>.","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$115F2014-BDA9-48BA-B8B7-A8A3896BC94D","rank":"normal"}],"P163":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P163","hash":"8576d3d16efe97b9b62facebe80c3ed9e3b6aae2","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":56621,"id":"Q56621"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$AEE5113E-BBEC-4525-A4BF-67ED42D0530E","rank":"normal"}],"P585":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P585","hash":"ed0f0d6b05e4ce4fed7f0f5035862b2c26f8fb23","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":57247,"id":"Q57247"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$EDE2EC1A-A857-469E-B86C-48DF6A9677F1","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P585","hash":"2aebf340b923b7547ab786e9394d619d0b00f53a","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":44324,"id":"Q44324"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$EC458A46-F4C4-48B4-9B71-EBD22EB2B5C5","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P585","hash":"dbb2b5bebb047bfa0035de58c059f08733598b1b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":31185,"id":"Q31185"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$A541A31C-5C29-4726-AB82-2F4459A91720","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P585","hash":"87e30d5bd3e30f145778c4a9083f0cc4157ef9ad","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":31184,"id":"Q31184"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$D15CD9A2-7543-4138-886C-6DC19F6AB096","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P585","hash":"7aac00570a74583c448c8c2a1fe16ed9aaeff406","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":57179,"id":"Q57179"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$3B2188BE-9967-45EC-A36F-F760639EA45D","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P585","hash":"377927ca9faccb74fb3425e77d43b739b674c2ef","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":57344,"id":"Q57344"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$5DCFB2A2-9A49-43EC-B31B-53A30A20AE2D","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P585","hash":"8baa5ed6156d07ff3c6e18db383632abb358c9f4","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":31150,"id":"Q31150"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$D5D6F89A-2FF3-4349-BEFB-6E8F5EAD729D","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P585","hash":"51fb9780d9ec9fcbaff0cba7840f3ec19b0b26fb","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":25186,"id":"Q25186"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$3A615806-9D6B-4AA9-A4B0-61E92F0A3BA0","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P585","hash":"0bb70656a0eb0b9e46d6c79f101f950680757283","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":16536,"id":"Q16536"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$AC6C01BA-F99B-4427-B987-BCF69424A5FF","rank":"normal"}],"P223":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"32b1fe514d92e77737430ac7665f4f72b2f5c02e","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":159194,"id":"Q159194"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$4AF6153E-CE03-493F-A258-310718D3D565","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"5a7f92a4cc28137ffec50f6a01a3739489cb58bf","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":159198,"id":"Q159198"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$3026DADA-D3C3-42D8-B626-7B406A0A6D30","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"eec7ce35c00e54af92617a7509ba061d2f80654a","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":159203,"id":"Q159203"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$466C263A-E7C0-4215-BBA7-9C57ED1AB71B","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"11af9bee7dade8ee910147e46850bd1292367973","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":104754,"id":"Q104754"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$1D44BB27-3611-4C99-BA05-F50475CD53C6","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"c0f837335ddb5214cbbf82cce99f425c6d9c511c","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":159205,"id":"Q159205"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$CCBBECD5-CE31-4F98-A229-FBEC5540B80C","rank":"normal"}],"P342":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P342","hash":"fe12f5e01d046912e5e7daea96ad81df7a13e944","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":13519,"id":"Q13519"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P132":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P132","hash":"d58e5b1027dfb6f2eb46f744a45ba1224fa0fc25","datavalue":{"value":"\u2265 3.5.0","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P132"],"id":"Q159206$6ABCF2E5-D8E3-4C69-B7F7-10D55D338116","rank":"normal"}],"P1460":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1460","hash":"908c3454b3659c4b140ccce33c5aee31081edc8d","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976450,"id":"Q5976450"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q159206$6D433C5D-CA1A-465E-9460-299239B52C23","rank":"normal"}]},"sitelinks":{"mardi":{"site":"mardi","title":"BayesMortalityPlus (Bayesian Mortality Modelling)","badges":[],"url":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/wiki/BayesMortalityPlus_(Bayesian_Mortality_Modelling)"}}}}}