{"entities":{"Q1723294":{"pageid":1734035,"ns":120,"title":"Item:Q1723294","lastrevid":68905935,"modified":"2026-04-13T03:01:32Z","type":"item","id":"Q1723294","labels":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"Local functional coefficient autoregressive model for multistep prediction of chaotic time series"}},"descriptions":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7025319"}},"aliases":{},"claims":{"P31":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P31","hash":"fd5912e4dab4b881a8eb0eb27e7893fef55176ad","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":56887,"id":"Q56887"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$1AC6762D-50EA-49DE-9C67-E482D6577125","rank":"normal"}],"P159":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P159","hash":"0b1e07c5a1dd9f59ca2e34b31d57b40e31c9b97c","datavalue":{"value":{"text":"Local functional coefficient autoregressive model for multistep prediction of chaotic time series","language":"en"},"type":"monolingualtext"},"datatype":"monolingualtext"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$603874D0-0466-4AF4-9153-FC1CD5A20623","rank":"normal"}],"P225":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P225","hash":"192d5ec5c5b2b90365368292ada8844fda6724de","datavalue":{"value":"1464.62393","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$EA73453B-54D7-4EE7-AAA2-A05FE3DE4802","rank":"normal"}],"P27":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P27","hash":"fd900d928b22f46cb4d8cbdc5cbbab33e6b0f9e0","datavalue":{"value":"10.1155/2015/329487","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$1DA76990-12BB-4B6B-AD29-0B60B9AFD93F","rank":"normal"}],"P16":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"566f41cc357eda0d9768cf0ceaf1ba415084cda1","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":778875,"id":"Q778875"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$62313042-BA66-49DA-9A4E-2061AEF4E6C4","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"db1bd313c5530d1e921790e91af37f0b7a086d6b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":980264,"id":"Q980264"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$2DC49098-A3BF-49E5-B379-98007223688C","rank":"normal"}],"P200":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P200","hash":"e5ea7bc024fe2946ca15646035f056e2ab96db7a","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":169945,"id":"Q169945"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$D50D7BB6-637E-4E48-99B1-32BE0503C5C5","rank":"normal"}],"P28":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"90e6131927e2f821390d615ecfaa0e74b7083d76","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+2019-02-19T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":11,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$3E2A975D-827F-407F-9329-1401601D3DF8","rank":"normal"}],"P1448":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1448","hash":"374ca9f558d21200d411ae2a24381f756c86fc53","datavalue":{"value":"Summary: A new methodology, which combines nonparametric method based on local functional coefficient autoregressive (LFAR) form with chaos theory and regional method, is proposed for multistep prediction of chaotic time series. The objective of this research study is to improve the performance of long-term forecasting of chaotic time series. To obtain the prediction values of chaotic time series, three steps are involved. Firstly, the original time series is reconstructed in \\(m\\)-dimensional phase space with a time delay \\(\\tau\\) by using chaos theory. Secondly, select the nearest neighbor points by using local method in the \\(m\\)-dimensional phase space. Thirdly, we use the nearest neighbor points to get a LFAR model. The proposed model's parameters are selected by modified generalized cross validation (GCV) criterion. Both simulated data (Lorenz and Mackey-Glass systems) and real data (Sunspot time series) are used to illustrate the performance of the proposed methodology. By detailed investigation and comparing our results with published researches, we find that the LFAR model can effectively fit nonlinear characteristics of chaotic time series by using simple structure and has excellent performance for multistep forecasting.","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$7EC1249A-2DC4-49DE-BCED-75F3055236F0","rank":"normal"}],"P226":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"1179c6cdfc1e6cfa1ccf347b858a5b5914f11cdc","datavalue":{"value":"62M10","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$75CEF300-FD1B-4BA2-827F-C9DBB21B8030","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"da09a36b3cd55a8c4008bfc1571e995d63777860","datavalue":{"value":"62M20","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$38AC1C66-2522-4BCB-AA9C-3C830F82D876","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"3d9efc5edd9940138bba54fd2dcb7e91029d8fcc","datavalue":{"value":"91B62","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$FE98675A-F691-4B74-B4E4-67CD3932A165","rank":"normal"}],"P1451":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1451","hash":"17bf31be294af226736b7b23453e7408ece94030","datavalue":{"value":"7025319","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$A012AAF6-3C79-4119-A222-7037093CC4C9","rank":"normal"}],"P12":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P12","hash":"4e622c5e495fe937e67e0060cbf96eb04f78a1dc","datavalue":{"value":"Q59105823","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$9BF80736-193D-44B1-B9FB-72EFCB082A85","rank":"normal"}],"P1460":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1460","hash":"57f7fea50d2ce1b39b695c4a1313582eed405e38","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976449,"id":"Q5976449"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$D2075762-17FE-4B54-9D93-1B8AEEF69568","rank":"normal"}],"P205":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P205","hash":"9eecd4dacf1edd54adb7bed4c7adec07eef24951","datavalue":{"value":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/329487","type":"string"},"datatype":"url"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$0DF566A4-BA4B-4CA6-A573-063464EA9C08","rank":"normal"}],"P388":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P388","hash":"8b318391ef6647c30d0d9b3bad7b038acb6a4d92","datavalue":{"value":"W2157405271","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$79875821-9EEE-4D8D-9D72-1029BC3973D3","rank":"normal"}],"P223":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"7fa15a15108bd86c803d6bcbf16a8bf149d75767","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4608560,"id":"Q4608560"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$776B5FCA-89ED-4A35-99A8-B8D6CAD2BC1B","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"5fb6ac418ff8e51d5530385eea607c2301adee8e","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":870183,"id":"Q870183"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$57ECEDCB-038C-46C3-A313-C818F75ED006","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"25051f6503636dc59fb438fcd71b2d03f9b83f41","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3403739,"id":"Q3403739"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$F43DC804-C289-434F-8B57-4ACFCBAD7331","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"c00292df3f102e4022b90ba16ce62dfeb291341e","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":980567,"id":"Q980567"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$55C0A529-3240-4FDA-AF67-01959DD8DFDC","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"687fe04b91c5957eac923d8fde9b465ba55d70e8","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3658782,"id":"Q3658782"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$B58F2129-F1E6-43F7-BAE0-05490CFAFAFD","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"fc860bf3e81fff2b8388832a161106c17453d9a8","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3512881,"id":"Q3512881"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$E49AD69B-D289-4824-A9F0-5755D8B3DA45","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"0fd49936885468c5ad7aefcfead19ae157c391e6","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":980265,"id":"Q980265"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$60C5E3B1-1FF8-4B96-B2B2-0AF781D8CF45","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"924a2fb63e0f0eeb473a7cc142c0fcc50cfa1896","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":715993,"id":"Q715993"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$9D8F90A2-20E3-427E-BB02-937647110B6D","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"dd28a7ff33a2445dbff6c78ef21ef750b8082141","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2453236,"id":"Q2453236"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$B1F00893-2ADB-45C5-975A-70B1D70C5A0D","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"38319a3ccf40bcb0739ee0108fb5b2e5aa9d08bf","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4673752,"id":"Q4673752"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$DF7B4E8E-731D-4FC8-9852-BD881744234D","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"41949de807a0df759bd01f081f77557b388907ab","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1373907,"id":"Q1373907"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$B97D5151-2D40-4B0C-857E-CE0AFEB4F202","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"cf2acf3336ee5bdd317f93dfe591fcc1689d9a46","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4609899,"id":"Q4609899"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$273A5A1A-B7DB-4C41-A00A-6545A51216FC","rank":"normal"}],"P1643":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"8b80dd7690d8d18748cd8ef49c063658207cc49f","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3512881,"id":"Q3512881"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"4950f69892280d5cf578864e55ac960ff0efff52","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.9194888","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1723294$FB70859B-BB46-4450-B0D0-2BFF9F5E24BE","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"d97393fd752517ae0c8786b9f4561044837dc994","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":715993,"id":"Q715993"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"4a1dc2d58ee95814cb0638fa044299a280e5e823","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.9193798","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1723294$90A33A86-D8FA-46D2-83FB-852C22FBB088","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"5a5149aeeef2a59c26ab3e7c7dceb603e8d2228d","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4527551,"id":"Q4527551"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"7fe785ad93912cf75bc450306b84dc8c05f7bc44","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.91547847","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1723294$9C23D306-A54F-4461-BFA5-91FE1502E52F","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"d553421a9b3f8904e777313019b7333326347d8d","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1375609,"id":"Q1375609"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"9454f8e45c07ab303a9d296235fc3293ca9e37bc","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.9149499","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1723294$0369B849-E4BF-40D4-8D9B-915C124A2773","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"fd3d3a5de6fd41568e709f091cb784510caf785e","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":980265,"id":"Q980265"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"aaf06ffb22f5aa66940522b22ab99ad71ab92a15","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.91424084","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1723294$DED3E15F-DF94-4D37-AACC-9E5171EAEB5B","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"bd2f0f3a609781e1c0abfe963a8e6a3f190cecbf","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2574308,"id":"Q2574308"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"c10a5853a831a226360dadeea6b46432f0fdb667","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.9077214","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1723294$D0BD41A0-0408-4C53-984F-954E3A073C38","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"7963a35691d95f60e802dc76211dfda6a7e56fd6","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3572114,"id":"Q3572114"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"cb03bb1f549a816d510e1c0930e6f13034c17a5f","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.90566266","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1723294$BE1EC05F-6AD8-46C6-A4B2-039A3A5D6211","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"c335d2a89375325a2a263559b159cfffbca61830","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5468441,"id":"Q5468441"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"ee8cec653749317c3d7836519fc177466dce500a","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.9029097","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1723294$E946A388-E007-4C57-854D-B4C0FE22172C","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"5886d3b6dae27067fb5a8040848264e0d36c3804","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1968171,"id":"Q1968171"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"daf75ee1f4c1b0a3c404bec4d53826396e3329b8","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.90115196","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1723294$79FBE818-B6A2-4007-A75B-50402AAED18E","rank":"normal"}],"P163":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P163","hash":"daf5f856a5d861312ad309ab567540337a5f61d6","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":57050,"id":"Q57050"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1723294$C0B99EEA-B611-4E14-8711-FD5777AEBF27","rank":"normal"}]},"sitelinks":{"mardi":{"site":"mardi","title":"Local functional coefficient autoregressive model for multistep prediction of chaotic time series","badges":[],"url":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/wiki/Local_functional_coefficient_autoregressive_model_for_multistep_prediction_of_chaotic_time_series"}}}}}