{"entities":{"Q1824580":{"pageid":1835322,"ns":120,"title":"Item:Q1824580","lastrevid":69245925,"modified":"2026-04-13T05:43:52Z","type":"item","id":"Q1824580","labels":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"Two variants of the first N\u00e5sell-Hirsch model"}},"descriptions":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4118211"}},"aliases":{},"claims":{"P31":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P31","hash":"fd5912e4dab4b881a8eb0eb27e7893fef55176ad","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":56887,"id":"Q56887"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$28FC8CFA-840E-49BD-A1FE-97BBDDC43F93","rank":"normal"}],"P159":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P159","hash":"3b3534f883de55df9496f88d961c37c67fbe1a3c","datavalue":{"value":{"text":"Two variants of the first N\u00e5sell-Hirsch model","language":"en"},"type":"monolingualtext"},"datatype":"monolingualtext"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$D4FE00A0-9819-4D04-813E-955CA111D385","rank":"normal"}],"P225":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P225","hash":"66353594e40ab4836661d0102db2ec549a0b7daa","datavalue":{"value":"0682.92009","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$9B03B7DA-7542-4E43-B5AA-1D5F30EE771E","rank":"normal"}],"P27":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P27","hash":"4159ec53382b942f141bb2a99dee33766a3de807","datavalue":{"value":"10.1016/0025-5564(89)90072-2","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$1626D3D5-2542-48B2-80E6-077BD28D5711","rank":"normal"}],"P16":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"96b02f2ae41025f82f1789fb23e665bb5bb21a9b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":622429,"id":"Q622429"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$CB6280A3-AF79-4C5C-BEEE-4BB7CA42341A","rank":"normal"}],"P200":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P200","hash":"80ca2db0e08c59d0ca007bc992ad8905c2022207","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":64191,"id":"Q64191"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$C11E8DEE-65FF-48C0-B591-57DE21AAE01B","rank":"normal"}],"P28":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"7211ad5ca16eb0d22cd0051fff3d0f3af254ceb6","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+1989-00-00T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":9,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$16F14880-D7D3-4C08-9029-600A36E39A80","rank":"normal"}],"P1448":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1448","hash":"fbe53d05d5cef9140419a8b39cb0626fa239a143","datavalue":{"value":"In the transmission models of \\textit{I. N\u00e5sell} and \\textit{W. M. Hirsch} [Commun. Pure Appl. Math. 25, 459-477 (1972; Zbl 0245.92018) and ibid. 26, 395-453 (1973; Zbl 0253.92004)], random quantities are replaced by their expectations in two places, in order to create a simpler ``hybrid'' model. In this paper, their earlier model \\((NH_ 1)\\) is compared with two other hybrid models, in which only one simplifying expectation is introduced.    These models are analysed using the author's elegant martingale technique [16th Eur. Meet. Statisticians, Marburg/Ger. 1984, Suppl. Issues Stat. Decis. 2, 105-109 (1985; Zbl 0576.60081)], and insofar as they differ epidemiologically from \\(NH_ 1\\), they give less pessimistic conclusions. They also predict dependence between the numbers of intermediate and definitive hosts infected, as does the fully stochastic model of the reviewer [Math. Biosci. 38, 303-312 [1978; Zbl 0377.92013)].","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$0B431F66-BA5C-4AD7-BF73-A2E3792FEF13","rank":"normal"}],"P226":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"8dce91b45aae56da74aca9c1ed1bc5361b215565","datavalue":{"value":"92D25","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$EDCD5210-BAD0-4F3C-BE59-13FB14024F95","rank":"normal"}],"P1451":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1451","hash":"baad7d0bdea70f60b6ea356431d5578d355d9cce","datavalue":{"value":"4118211","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$3CC3DAB8-3A46-4299-99F1-9C455D44F47E","rank":"normal"}],"P1450":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"14508f1a943a1816ac9c4a04df1835321a4c13f6","datavalue":{"value":"helminthic infections","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$023B9A26-5F02-42D6-B446-6D16AD6519C6","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"f8c4d4d2d08103c15b8e1772b7b4b6dfa870a1de","datavalue":{"value":"free antibodies","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$61816774-D9F0-4DDD-AF91-AD2F7455AB61","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"3b8a9fafa56b6e40edcf950da033191ee971bd4a","datavalue":{"value":"epidemiology","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$55030DF1-BBFD-4D4E-9D91-422D9AFF7D78","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"8a816552a221134f111cdcb56d59984177bfaf99","datavalue":{"value":"transmission models","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$FFF92643-30DE-4275-BFB2-7DD32DDB72F5","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"06065b0dd7de6f850299d355099c2787f723ec6a","datavalue":{"value":"hybrid models","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$7B14358B-BC76-4ECA-AC03-83F428F5B24D","rank":"normal"}],"P12":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P12","hash":"e14382b90faf2c1aa74e659d1312daa0c2c00f38","datavalue":{"value":"Q38247241","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$F84E1DB6-2610-44DE-9F14-D22C5AB629ED","rank":"normal"}],"P1447":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1447","hash":"76852057528e081be2f5863a6775b2fa1f732323","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":388926,"id":"Q388926"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$F039360E-E150-41B8-AAE1-392B0EAEF32D","rank":"normal"}],"P1460":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1460","hash":"57f7fea50d2ce1b39b695c4a1313582eed405e38","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976449,"id":"Q5976449"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$BC588994-2AAD-4106-B7F0-2F7B169E6793","rank":"normal"}],"P205":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P205","hash":"7ea1033eae34911ede24100cbd73eb6c5c167393","datavalue":{"value":"https://doi.org/10.1016/0025-5564(89)90072-2","type":"string"},"datatype":"url"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$873EC52B-276D-4B85-99E6-E17D363196A8","rank":"normal"}],"P388":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P388","hash":"5c275bfd3c66940f79940a19dfbdc999810cfc9d","datavalue":{"value":"W2091873066","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$7A9EB80A-E666-47D9-ADDC-E37042F0E3D5","rank":"normal"}],"P223":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"1948014fb5720f7bd4d2a2b10ba200350f334b87","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2536926,"id":"Q2536926"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$45D2B708-FC03-4175-A56A-7812C4C0F3C2","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"f81ca8e524b676cb40e9eb8b1d5c568345b88293","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4101649,"id":"Q4101649"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$43FE58F9-DEC6-4C3C-9256-C6724E394AA9","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"04fdc9aecdbd6b09271554193fa01f0a6309f4c7","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4124071,"id":"Q4124071"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$FD709FD7-534C-4FA1-8112-A1361F822A6B","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"b010713c3d1b3c401c2e1ea115e068b9def3144b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1231459,"id":"Q1231459"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$EEFA6743-0A6A-4FA7-93D9-5A274394950E","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"344abc4ba9762571d45cb8318e38486596f6c5ec","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5650238,"id":"Q5650238"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$201DB654-7D6A-4729-A020-1442A7E3F9EB","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"d13c0490090f1c76e38209f9e3d77cbcc7d7f8c4","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5668655,"id":"Q5668655"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$550F3C73-D132-4E45-AC75-456C9D4D20D4","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"473f65428709575c311180d6b1a102d9733119a8","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5724338,"id":"Q5724338"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$00E002BB-2AFA-475E-A798-14D25C666B33","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"cf3e0038d628fa5bb6d30fff7b629df3dd4d7afb","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3696261,"id":"Q3696261"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$6566F83F-1A8F-4B21-B82B-76FF9FB6A314","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"cf0d500aa9822db94f9b0740d57ec55aed58c09f","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5679513,"id":"Q5679513"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$DE1F76FE-E180-4733-AEFA-B54528AF0764","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"b6768633fd28078cbf41b1be27f22dc34c5e48f3","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3920411,"id":"Q3920411"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q1824580$CBED0EAB-1EC1-40AE-8ABD-99A2A5741978","rank":"normal"}],"P1643":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"0de220c05e8188e9aac409d1699cce5a69c4bc53","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2813563,"id":"Q2813563"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"9fa9c60b0ec3bf7a9d834ba211ab5a3e8ec44805","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.78974867","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$1EB1D91C-BED0-4FE2-B9E3-09FC54A6EC05","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"c0c3de93eccd90466f0441ed79bee0d253c29efb","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1431758,"id":"Q1431758"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"abb324db9d8e791bb3e504dd12487feff4099c6c","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.7809558","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$9306DFF2-C004-420D-BF38-0624C74A8C8E","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"3e0e9a242b97617c704610225a24bb6ad911f1d9","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4635326,"id":"Q4635326"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"fd2985db5c36004214d2df3dfd342e9205348a38","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.780233","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$9BDEBCDE-AD04-4636-BA67-CE8CE3C240E8","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"648d50cc4a95fdad6e26fbf85cf52efd6209600b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2785552,"id":"Q2785552"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"48ac4cef4844e30090faec245812840798e8f710","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.7762076","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$BB056B56-8124-4FF4-8DDE-B1867CEEE2E2","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"bda146d0604e6c5ddd179c834fe0ca41c96d6505","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3300638,"id":"Q3300638"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"b71514964670b053b609ef58794231316f93ec67","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.7679737","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$23489EEE-04F6-43FD-AA2D-8BCA3053A50B","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"271776f3394330487c2789d48dcfddfb79c070c0","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2165621,"id":"Q2165621"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"39c9f78fbf47d2ff1f5cba285cbbc93cafbe48b6","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.76679826","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$EF20B187-6671-4866-8712-E39A9485519A","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"752500d319f5a4949befaa46c4ffdde9fee7e62f","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5272900,"id":"Q5272900"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"280ff1d1bc9fe848b64b50fec7ff45879e201623","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.76624984","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$7BD0DAEB-C645-4E75-8385-08E64FEB1ECF","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"350c70d50cf0776a5347d6b4fa3ec1a83d789173","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4579804,"id":"Q4579804"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"6c210dfe3cc522c96aeeebf3daf62b7441fb182d","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.7662277","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$1BAD20AA-F526-43BE-B727-27032639095F","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"e346c071ef5ca03cbc097b11eed7c8317a70f527","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2565575,"id":"Q2565575"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"3367ad1468d256f0cb8b9e3eae44092523c5f084","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.76419973","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$8314ACB3-6301-4558-A791-3D6A0AECAB79","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"a3f7d8891218a0cb8013b035608f7f744f2fc448","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1934304,"id":"Q1934304"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"474e19544880df64c968fb6fc15df5be3684cec3","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.7617992","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q1824580$593DD3F3-C6CB-4998-B101-5ACAEE891C23","rank":"normal"}]},"sitelinks":{"mardi":{"site":"mardi","title":"Two variants of the first N\u00e5sell-Hirsch model","badges":[],"url":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/wiki/Two_variants_of_the_first_N%C3%A5sell-Hirsch_model"}}}}}