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Jh. Eine besondere Schwierigkeit dieses sehr anspruchsvollen Versuches scheint mit darin zu liegen, da\u00df die nahezu einzigen direkten Bez\u00fcge Newtons zur Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie, die im Abschnitt 1.1. der Arbeit abgehandelt werden, aus der ersten Entwicklungsphase des jungen Newton stammen, der damals unter anderem die \\textit{Exercitationes mathematicae} von van Schooten studierte, als deren Anhang der Traktat von Huygens \\textit{De Ratiociniis in ludo aleae} erschienen war. Dieser Traktat von Huygens nun war es, der Newton zu einigen \u00dcbungen veranla\u00dfte, die sich nat\u00fcrlich ganz im Rahmen der von Huygens geschaffenen Gl\u00fccksspielterminologie bewegten. Der Schlu\u00df nun, da\u00df diese auf ein paar Seiten eines Manuskripts des jungen Newton hinterlassenen Studien, die sich ja haupts\u00e4chtlich um den Inhalt der \\textit{Exercitationes mathematicae} van Schootens drehten, nun in direkten Zusammenhang gebracht werden k\u00f6nnen mit sp\u00e4teren Arbeiten Newtons, in denen auf Grund unseres heutigen Wissens etwa einer Fehlertheorie oder irgendwelcher wahrscheinlichkeitstheoretischer Anwendungen in der Astronomie, Chronologie oder allgemein bei Experimenten \u00e4quivalente Uberlegungen zu finden sind, bed\u00fcrfte einer genauen Begr\u00fcndung, einer Begr\u00fcndung, die vom Verf. des Aufsatzes offenbar als trivial und deshalb \u00fcberfl\u00fcssig angesehen wurde.   Die von diesen mit einem Fragezeichen zu versehenden probabilistischen Elementen in Newtons mathematischem Werk unabh\u00e4ngige Darstellung des Verh\u00e4ltnisses de Moivres zu den kosmologisch-philosophischen Ideen Newtons, auf die Karl Pearson zuerst hingewiesen hat, ist sauber herausgearbeitet. Ebenso wurde die sich auf die neueste Sekund\u00e4rliteratur st\u00fctzende weitere Entwicklung des Newton-de Moivreschen Wahrscheinlichkeitsbegriffs zum Laplaceschen ber\u00fccksichtigt. Ob sich hier die behauptete \u00c4quivalenz der von Thomas von Aquin, Jakob Bernoulli und Laplace verwendeten Wahrscheinlichkeit mit der heute sogenannten subjektiven Wahrscheinlichkeit als tats\u00e4chlich richtig erweist, mu\u00df einer genaueren historischen Untersuchung vorbehalten bleiben.   In einem Addendum wird Lambert vorgestellt als der erste, der einen einer heute sogenannten objektiven Wahrscheinlichkeit \u00e4quivalenten Begriff hatte. Die Hereinnahme von Aristotelesstellen als Beleg f\u00fcr probabilistische Ideen im \\textit{Corpus Aristotelicum} erscheint problematisch.   Insgesamt handelt es sich jedoch um eine mit wenigen Ausnahmen sehr gut belegte -- Zitate in Originalsprache, ohne \u00dcbersetzung -- Arbeit, in der allerdings eine solche F\u00fclle von Problemen angeschnitten ist, da\u00df ihre vollst\u00e4ndige Darstellung wohl den Rahmen eines Buches erforderlich machen 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