{"entities":{"Q2582508":{"pageid":2593251,"ns":120,"title":"Item:Q2582508","lastrevid":79048235,"modified":"2026-05-06T13:01:43Z","type":"item","id":"Q2582508","labels":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"Nouvelle d\u00e9monstration et g\u00e9n\u00e9ralisation d'un th\u00e9or\u00e8me du calcul des probabilit\u00e9s d\u00fb \u00e0 Simmons."}},"descriptions":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"scientific article; zbMATH DE number 2503211"}},"aliases":{},"claims":{"P31":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P31","hash":"fd5912e4dab4b881a8eb0eb27e7893fef55176ad","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":56887,"id":"Q56887"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2582508$7B99348D-D2BF-4A4E-8CEB-A6EC6E2315B4","rank":"normal"}],"P159":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P159","hash":"b4a476768145354aa93f3886e772ad2296d281ce","datavalue":{"value":{"text":"Nouvelle d\u00e9monstration et g\u00e9n\u00e9ralisation d'un th\u00e9or\u00e8me du calcul des probabilit\u00e9s d\u00fb \u00e0 Simmons.","language":"en"},"type":"monolingualtext"},"datatype":"monolingualtext"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2582508$F56C006B-F0F5-47F5-84D8-CE35DB8B096A","rank":"normal"}],"P225":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P225","hash":"f5d92380d93708f2ccc0263d1a9cf989e3fd7d3b","datavalue":{"value":"67.0455.04","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2582508$4E6E6224-E554-4456-AE94-566DAEF9FB66","rank":"normal"}],"P16":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"72579d8130028ad816a745462e212455a2097c9d","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2580187,"id":"Q2580187"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2582508$A140C856-9ECD-4816-B988-579DECF27E36","rank":"normal"}],"P200":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P200","hash":"076ff94d104a7536baa30b0c7b074f0dedca6bd4","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":177628,"id":"Q177628"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2582508$4135AA46-C602-4A37-BA6C-C4C577DCFBFE","rank":"normal"}],"P28":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"b4a7e675c2dec11049f636d98b38ed898375cacb","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+1941-00-00T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":9,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2582508$40DB63A1-EC82-43B9-8425-6428C4A5E025","rank":"normal"}],"P1448":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1448","hash":"e4b911932781720ab1dbf62affa110bde63ba1b8","datavalue":{"value":"Aus einer Urne, die \\(a\\) schwarze und \\(b\\) wei\u00dfe Kugeln \\((a > b)\\) enth\u00e4lt, werden \\(n = N(a+b)\\) Ziehungen unter Zur\u00fccklegung der gezogenen Kugel in die Urne gemacht. Dabei sei \\(S\\) die Anzahl der gezogenen wei\u00dfen Kugeln, deren Erwartungswert \\(Nb\\) ist. Dann gilt nach \\textit{T. C. Simmons}: Werden die Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Ungleichungen \\(S < Nb\\) und \\(S > Nb\\) mit \\(P\\) bzw. \\(Q\\) bezeichnet, so ist \\(P > Q\\), und f\u00fcr hinreichend gro\u00dfes \\(N\\) ist die Differenz \\(\\varDelta = P - Q\\) n\u00e4herungsweise durch \\({\\frac{1}{3}}(a-b)(2\\pi nab)^{-\\frac{1}{2}}\\) gegeben, sofern der Erwartungswert \\(Nb = np\\) eine \\textit{ganze Zahl} ist (\\(p\\) ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, eine wei\u00dfe Kugel zu ziehen). F\u00fcr diesen Satz wird in Kap. I und II ein neuer Beweis gegeben.  In Kap. III befreit sich Verf. von dieser Einschr\u00e4nkung, so da\u00df der Satz f\u00fcr die \\(n\\)-malige Wiederholung eines Alternativversuchs mit beliebigen Grundwahrscheinlichkeiten \\(p\\) und \\(q=1-p\\) (mit \\(q > p\\)) ausgesprochen werden kann. \\(m\\) bezeichne den ganzzahligen Anteil in \\(np\\), es sei also \\(m = np - s\\) mit \\(0\\leqq s < 1\\). Der asymptotische Wert von \\(\\varDelta \\) ist in diesem Falle  \\[ \\varDelta _s=\\frac{q-p-6s}{3\\sqrt{2\\pi \\,npq}}+O\\bigl(n^{-\\frac{3}{2}}\\bigr),\\quad0\\leqq s<\\frac{q-p}{6}, \\]  was f\u00fcr \\(s=0\\) und \\(p=\\dfrac{b}{a+b}\\), \\(q=\\dfrac{a}{a+b}\\) in obiges Ergebnis \u00fcbergeht.  Vgl. Verf., Giorn. Ist. Ital. Attuari 10, 229-243; JFM 65.0561.*.","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2582508$ECDA2A2E-02FA-4D54-957E-9035A198B335","rank":"normal"}],"P1451":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1451","hash":"c0b4ef276bc804db08fdb2aea629590c5768c052","datavalue":{"value":"2503211","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2582508$5AD1B650-3294-4686-ACC6-5DF480066562","rank":"normal"}],"P1460":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1460","hash":"57f7fea50d2ce1b39b695c4a1313582eed405e38","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976449,"id":"Q5976449"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2582508$961CFD22-4B72-4E5F-AA66-9C2A13E30399","rank":"normal"}]},"sitelinks":{"mardi":{"site":"mardi","title":"Nouvelle d\u00e9monstration et g\u00e9n\u00e9ralisation d'un th\u00e9or\u00e8me du calcul des probabilit\u00e9s d\u00fb \u00e0 Simmons.","badges":[],"url":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/wiki/Nouvelle_d%C3%A9monstration_et_g%C3%A9n%C3%A9ralisation_d%27un_th%C3%A9or%C3%A8me_du_calcul_des_probabilit%C3%A9s_d%C3%BB_%C3%A0_Simmons."}}}}}