{"entities":{"Q2615271":{"pageid":2626014,"ns":120,"title":"Item:Q2615271","lastrevid":44486205,"modified":"2025-11-23T07:19:28Z","type":"item","id":"Q2615271","labels":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"Die Beurteilung der Treffsicherheit von Prognosen."}},"descriptions":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"scientific article; zbMATH DE number 2535558"}},"aliases":{},"claims":{"P31":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P31","hash":"fd5912e4dab4b881a8eb0eb27e7893fef55176ad","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":56887,"id":"Q56887"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2615271$19B361FF-FB7A-4CFE-ABF0-477FD4C67561","rank":"normal"}],"P159":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P159","hash":"8ca6e5c5c7c8a0c86d3286418723ca1f66f4921e","datavalue":{"value":{"text":"Die Beurteilung der Treffsicherheit von Prognosen.","language":"en"},"type":"monolingualtext"},"datatype":"monolingualtext"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2615271$D6B27F95-96A4-4DDD-8D49-5404BA306EAD","rank":"normal"}],"P225":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P225","hash":"734f215927f6c580d56dd3ba3ef84a944a6ab583","datavalue":{"value":"61.1309.01","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2615271$5FED094F-E623-462F-9D4D-3C1E903050EA","rank":"normal"}],"P16":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"080470d0097e80d70e28ebee750825b2e5783e47","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1215986,"id":"Q1215986"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2615271$9D7CD851-E9B5-4941-AD2E-7212C72439BE","rank":"normal"}],"P28":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"f82bec1cbf48dde5b3e142feb51b7b6959e188a7","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+1935-00-00T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":9,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2615271$5B32F9B2-FDC7-4221-875C-D375F8395A2B","rank":"normal"}],"P1448":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1448","hash":"94cc6f11e9fbc31dcbbab1479e71fc6e72765454","datavalue":{"value":"Es soll ein brauchbares Ma\u00df f\u00fcr den ``individuellen Erfolg'' von Prognosen gegeben werden. Es sei vorausgesagt, da\u00df von \\(n\\) sich ausschlie\u00dfenden Ereignissen \\(E_i\\) in \\(N\\) F\u00e4llen, die der Voraussage unterliegen, \\(E_i\\) \\(a_i\\)-mal (\\(i=1\\), 2,\\dots, \\(n\\)) eintritt. Sp\u00e4ter stelle sich heraus, da\u00df \\(E_i\\) sich \\(A_i\\)-mal ereignet hat. Jede der \\(\\dfrac{N!}{a_1!\\ldots a_n!}\\) Folgen, in denen \\(a_i\\)-mal das Ereignis \\(E_i\\) auftritt, zeigt eine bestimmte Zahl von \u00dcbereinstimmungen mit der Folge der tats\u00e4chlich eingetretenen Ereignisse. Als Mittelwert f\u00fcr diese ``Trefferanzahl'' \\(t\\) wird  \\[  M_t=\\frac{a_1A_1+\\cdots+a_nA_n}{N}  \\]  gew\u00e4hlt. Bezeichnet \\(\\sigma_t\\) die zugeh\u00f6rige Streuung, so wird als Ma\u00df der Treffsicherheit  \\[  T=\\frac{t-M_t}{\\sigma_t}  \\]  definiert. F\u00fcr den Fall \\(n=2\\) h\u00e4ngt \\(T\\) mit dem Kontingenzma\u00df \\(\\varphi^2\\) von \\textit{Pearson} durch die Beziehung  \\[  T=\\varphi\\sqrt{N-1}  \\]  zusammen.","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2615271$9C502D13-76A9-454D-AE30-7BD7A3E16F92","rank":"normal"}],"P1451":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1451","hash":"0ffe91e423ef2ce1e45cbf875c4ec0641b2a2bf2","datavalue":{"value":"2535558","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2615271$F03119F7-622B-45F8-A2CE-A4DFCF322A5B","rank":"normal"}],"P1460":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1460","hash":"57f7fea50d2ce1b39b695c4a1313582eed405e38","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976449,"id":"Q5976449"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q2615271$EFE0EE10-1CBA-4D92-9D87-F0B7E642F5EB","rank":"normal"}]},"sitelinks":{"mardi":{"site":"mardi","title":"Publication:2615271","badges":[],"url":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/wiki/Publication:2615271"}}}}}