{"entities":{"Q449182":{"pageid":450949,"ns":120,"title":"Item:Q449182","lastrevid":61907493,"modified":"2026-04-11T02:28:16Z","type":"item","id":"Q449182","labels":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"Naive traders and mispricing in prediction markets"}},"descriptions":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6081464"}},"aliases":{},"claims":{"P31":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P31","hash":"fd5912e4dab4b881a8eb0eb27e7893fef55176ad","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":56887,"id":"Q56887"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$47A2207A-C366-4828-B0D5-B2FEC5BA3BE6","rank":"normal"}],"P159":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P159","hash":"d9431506cafc558b0e0b3b078df38686f0cbf775","datavalue":{"value":{"text":"Naive traders and mispricing in prediction markets","language":"en"},"type":"monolingualtext"},"datatype":"monolingualtext"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$8FE3F2CD-B383-44D0-9C48-2D884BA54EE1","rank":"normal"}],"P225":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P225","hash":"ad5d18218440697b73763905d384a7568a9b4432","datavalue":{"value":"1247.91079","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$7855CD68-F368-4C3A-BB44-16012C919208","rank":"normal"}],"P16":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"9f2a61cab016456b0e743bc14efa7aedf04a1301","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":449181,"id":"Q449181"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$A25E6298-D85C-4B0E-8E22-66079BE8DC5F","rank":"normal"}],"P200":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P200","hash":"3bf9ac9ec63184edee159adfddd47bd75703ecee","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":61265,"id":"Q61265"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$05F99335-EDBE-4D54-8E47-B41775E5F677","rank":"normal"}],"P28":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"392bef464532f1fb6c9d97acd60a5df3e0795638","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+2012-09-12T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":11,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$082C6298-7194-4EF5-AC67-411EE799B2AC","rank":"normal"}],"P226":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"6e419163fd9b5f210c8c0c28cdb07c2197a2bcac","datavalue":{"value":"91B26","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$CC8ACCFE-8883-48D2-8A92-CEEDE7F20305","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"a97d5757b1183397440f4e60f65937024d52f933","datavalue":{"value":"91B25","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$42099AEB-E860-4CF0-BB07-BFCBA3A5290B","rank":"normal"}],"P1451":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1451","hash":"3e624a6ee87c72207c763cc71eb69afb449a7e12","datavalue":{"value":"6081464","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$C5CDC4F1-165C-4139-901E-F509D2A9FE79","rank":"normal"}],"P1450":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"f10dcc6f1d0d32049d33e453b19c24839740b8bd","datavalue":{"value":"naive traders","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$1F0E83F8-7380-49B7-8C2D-DAC9982306AD","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"a2f4c380068217b1cd043dd5d0b1d095310ae61a","datavalue":{"value":"double auction","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$F7333122-5EC6-429F-B953-5A1ECA791851","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"732ef1df5226602c7a8f807481db36b987d4ed5e","datavalue":{"value":"common values","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$9C262B94-A82E-4940-9121-5C12304562A9","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"a1a0f146e6be3c52ab39c87e5b41c86145c0e109","datavalue":{"value":"private information","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$84640A63-C51E-404F-9793-4B09E04E10E8","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"47fd4c28b5287fe9832dd94c1580756c55163f43","datavalue":{"value":"prediction markets","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$18DD1488-52FF-4E83-BBBB-58CE29AF1C2E","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"804235993d990383a8e4c2225da84848a56dd6b7","datavalue":{"value":"favorite-longshot bias","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$A24F2786-ACF2-45A7-BE2B-40C3279051CB","rank":"normal"}],"P1460":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1460","hash":"57f7fea50d2ce1b39b695c4a1313582eed405e38","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976449,"id":"Q5976449"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$81CCD513-B124-4944-ACE2-7184D283DC12","rank":"normal"}],"P205":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P205","hash":"41eed2839703662cecd26fb7b8e4f497226b99a8","datavalue":{"value":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2012.05.020","type":"string"},"datatype":"url"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$BCC2EC2E-D555-4178-A78D-DB9988281774","rank":"normal"}],"P388":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P388","hash":"e50fd02d77e114b01d6bfe4a2b371769882dfe6a","datavalue":{"value":"W2153516420","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$898FBFBD-7313-4961-A32E-9D366C998227","rank":"normal"}],"P223":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"05aa36427b09bbf29a7b1ab40b2e039cee3a142d","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5393894,"id":"Q5393894"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$9534BCDB-1847-4864-BA5F-875D8DA37197","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"da49fcebbd367f2b7fb446c326bfa9df9786614d","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1140024,"id":"Q1140024"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$20D154C2-030F-4C06-B713-51996EF78C2F","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"0ffe6bcff9da8813710f883eff4bff59d5f8a67b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2427128,"id":"Q2427128"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$B2DE7EE2-AF49-4B28-8DC2-E9F7835A6654","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"4ad5bac5b7d72b1df81cf92bf848dece587152c2","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3823373,"id":"Q3823373"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$0D16BC0A-17CE-403B-B84D-44D90D759EE3","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"a94662624ef190332fb6460a8821213e0d781582","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3428551,"id":"Q3428551"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$01CD1ED7-A06D-4E34-94F9-43A64E58070F","rank":"normal"}],"P27":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P27","hash":"20b791f7f99f084fcb532ced9e4e46dfca13b202","datavalue":{"value":"10.1016/J.JET.2012.05.020","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q449182$ABD39E56-6024-408C-B2FC-9DB9D81431D3","rank":"normal"}],"P1643":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"61ef2f7bbf2e45cce6703ee13a0d0228b7dc48e7","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2358572,"id":"Q2358572"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"e016b0746fb813478939db533d8fb84f22354994","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.88396883","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q449182$BAC121A8-9BBE-4FF2-A67F-284C26E62214","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"6756babec2de2eb1302141a4c693f1fe1fb9ca8c","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3062238,"id":"Q3062238"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"6506a5a1c48c812e0668f2524532877f6c0e2932","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.881575","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q449182$C40DC31A-0C16-4A23-A5E2-DAB275E25D03","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"edd15ad2590af401b3f2dca3b8fd528ab2a8a072","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6067804,"id":"Q6067804"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"d57686aac5bc46bc03975e8baea7761012f606b4","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.8807581","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q449182$F561CA88-2199-44C9-8B33-D5952D7144BE","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"73aaba02779a311a5c5204f998987722c57f463f","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1651709,"id":"Q1651709"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"9638639ab5472fda848a475027a728359bcff328","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.87515676","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q449182$81AC224E-0F1E-4521-9436-4B1A0A2D231F","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"8975b1b2ee6e4abdb2e94f89bb30e581f554bef9","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3117327,"id":"Q3117327"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"f1392b951da100f28be97d45e38f3af233a32a70","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.8711825","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q449182$4A9FE5BA-0E1A-49A2-879A-2344B983C217","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"11a67d37799b9c6dd8175a13f626b1584f1c7f0a","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":613424,"id":"Q613424"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"010e38ab3170e073b2037523758f459216604dc1","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.8536272","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q449182$C3860205-93F5-4F62-94E6-0582FDB50CEE","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1643","hash":"9420294db1370250d868b2ce8bd283494f3f26a4","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2658804,"id":"Q2658804"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","qualifiers":{"P1659":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1659","hash":"1f679c0709be3ce60067d9b2ad32d7146cfeee99","datavalue":{"value":{"amount":"+0.84970284","unit":"1"},"type":"quantity"},"datatype":"quantity"}],"P1660":[{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1660","hash":"ac3c626774dcd0d16f89557f66586245841a01db","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":6767936,"id":"Q6767936"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"}]},"qualifiers-order":["P1659","P1660"],"id":"Q449182$59DC5604-8962-442C-AF44-5EFD2E4356B1","rank":"normal"}]},"sitelinks":{"mardi":{"site":"mardi","title":"Naive traders and mispricing in prediction markets","badges":[],"url":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/wiki/Naive_traders_and_mispricing_in_prediction_markets"}}}}}