{"entities":{"Q5868919":{"pageid":7898470,"ns":120,"title":"Item:Q5868919","lastrevid":93256790,"modified":"2026-06-05T04:04:51Z","type":"item","id":"Q5868919","labels":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"Scoring Probability Forecasts by a User\u2019s Bets Against a Market Consensus"}},"descriptions":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7592243"}},"aliases":{},"claims":{"P31":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P31","hash":"fd5912e4dab4b881a8eb0eb27e7893fef55176ad","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":56887,"id":"Q56887"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$2D58ADA2-2D3C-4CCC-B42C-1DB22E554A9B","rank":"normal"}],"P159":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P159","hash":"253c85db2b14147a319603a4bae92bb5b7b946c8","datavalue":{"value":{"text":"Scoring Probability Forecasts by a User\u2019s Bets Against a Market Consensus","language":"en"},"type":"monolingualtext"},"datatype":"monolingualtext"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$70737A30-65A3-4829-B4CA-5B764C183E72","rank":"normal"}],"P16":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"a808fb5e13273a794fcca0814ac3b5c89fe9fc76","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":252753,"id":"Q252753"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$A1FF0EB0-E19C-4A27-9261-728EBC29AED0","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"01d974b36ab1bfa136a042c84bc39a1894f1e092","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5868917,"id":"Q5868917"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$054A76E7-0AAC-4277-989F-E14414BE1B5B","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"63b769287e12680d08004888059b6ad1a63ba5fb","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":590757,"id":"Q590757"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$C394C967-285F-4E22-A62F-EE964CFEC75B","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"15f59a86e8b464c9bf86cc51bfbe0e897c68ebff","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5868918,"id":"Q5868918"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$8A2B1BF5-AFC7-431D-A8C9-FC96F48EA003","rank":"normal"}],"P200":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P200","hash":"9e8066e2b4195ffa46166a6ef14d311d5517b5e1","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":131002,"id":"Q131002"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$FE4D48C6-8567-4375-89E6-DBFEC05E1A13","rank":"normal"}],"P28":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"9376c8de36d20cd151ffe6f1624817feab6592ab","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+2022-09-26T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":11,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$D5EA44FA-3BC3-493E-82CD-0DA043CDC94D","rank":"normal"}],"P226":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"2bfaecbf584554114e0043b0c6c7bffb91e17209","datavalue":{"value":"91-XX","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$911A163E-FB07-487F-AAED-FAE638A74925","rank":"normal"}],"P1451":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1451","hash":"e7ec4ee09abc5bc1f7495dabecd022c42719b449","datavalue":{"value":"7592243","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$BB89CD1F-5131-4BB5-B415-3E0805C49DC3","rank":"normal"}],"P1450":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"69659d24e63039bbd7f2aed590ba7e014ba60b2f","datavalue":{"value":"probability forecast","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$8BB47EC1-47CA-4708-9B27-5278C2625037","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"c90f005f4b0576b8d61bf5e4d0d1800b05078f6e","datavalue":{"value":"probability of bankruptcy","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$A9B4EA16-0BE9-4569-83EE-3650951AC293","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"47fd4c28b5287fe9832dd94c1580756c55163f43","datavalue":{"value":"prediction markets","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$42E983AD-C22E-4E55-A521-0C953DB50634","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"1aa05c2c7025c9eaf2793a3daae5806cd1b9e190","datavalue":{"value":"forecast evaluation","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$321B0331-E40A-45D6-9F59-E32D086DB766","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1450","hash":"3b2e43a16e80fea47bd936c574e33fb56a3ea4b9","datavalue":{"value":"economic scoring rules","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$ED4A2655-7857-48E6-AFBB-3C9873AC63F6","rank":"normal"}],"P1463":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1463","hash":"f0a71e900fc448e6fed710125e978a44058de65f","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":23001,"id":"Q23001"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$8B6C52AF-B151-4C66-A586-4B7CB633EFE2","rank":"normal"}],"P1460":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1460","hash":"57f7fea50d2ce1b39b695c4a1313582eed405e38","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976449,"id":"Q5976449"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$D2B55200-023F-40BC-8370-6F2189B9C4EB","rank":"normal"}],"P205":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P205","hash":"16b4750e85dbdbfaa52001bf893ea2dbe67fc748","datavalue":{"value":"https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2020.0424","type":"string"},"datatype":"url"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$F1E0EEA2-EC70-47E2-B6B2-20C824EE177A","rank":"normal"}],"P388":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P388","hash":"287cd700f68168986d1dee41694dbc46f81b4814","datavalue":{"value":"W3171514677","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$8B8A098A-6FBB-449D-924E-D1BBD8AC4D8E","rank":"normal"}],"P223":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"275fb297272305a06edfb0c8af509dc4eda682b4","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4283593,"id":"Q4283593"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$4EB9689C-9C0A-4154-A471-239ECAFDDF42","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"ee65b5f3c213d209bb115cdd70349ef2e0c49243","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5120278,"id":"Q5120278"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$586CF16C-4FE1-48E7-B8E2-6FEC9293A0CB","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"c8c739b1659dd87d42ee1f94b796c6bc22160266","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3418478,"id":"Q3418478"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$BD7D47B6-2603-46BA-BF6B-601A35C8ECF5","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"c45ec972b3a53b267b57e13738e4ba8716b86799","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3121151,"id":"Q3121151"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$634C60AC-9E27-4051-A3BE-5092CBACD032","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"3495cbb5238d666723668178be86fdc8c4564c2f","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5121288,"id":"Q5121288"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$EC7CE1C1-B9D2-40A2-8C69-B2A414C69C01","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"aa675997ee2780b350b390669946685a725261b7","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4691942,"id":"Q4691942"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$D682A4C7-ABAC-44EA-BC07-F789F26A4486","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"4657dc32c825916a5b09cffe99dab545a6776711","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3392237,"id":"Q3392237"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$2C8036EB-0CE9-4327-8381-657660E20D3E","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"a5e2d5b2c94f74eb76b3a00ced54630f5ff86a2d","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4691925,"id":"Q4691925"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$30D06051-D0D3-4F3E-A8A0-91E75379A5A2","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"17574faac014efec53704c0a31f08894f3ddc4ed","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4276617,"id":"Q4276617"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$05DD40E6-80BF-45A6-ABDA-3298AB1DA2AB","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"c9051506accbcd900599245d59cb3c129a17ab00","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1289302,"id":"Q1289302"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$4BBF0F35-5AD3-4FF5-A554-D7B99E93FBB6","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"12b4c32ddec0ae068ca2f8a7c042c5b0f4f35e8b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4032486,"id":"Q4032486"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$F4CAD4FA-D160-4636-B500-6EEB8827E24B","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"9a46f73e408d48054c533d26de525dd5dac00727","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3375375,"id":"Q3375375"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$D6F1AC2D-8515-4C8C-A81E-4D1F81C1D338","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"27a83eb438bbf2cea00eebbec3e5baac36b5a4f6","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":951507,"id":"Q951507"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$48DD37B2-7E9F-4F4E-AC2E-9FCD1BA21753","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"10fb980d2af33fac2ece917071068506d1c78d75","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4323584,"id":"Q4323584"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$1FD9E8D5-92F6-46CC-8A0B-0F4281149E1D","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"b57cb4dec948c564382d8d2846bda74d84cb881d","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4691970,"id":"Q4691970"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$9FF405F1-CF19-4F67-B836-9F98128F7999","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"ced79452e1bd7cda9ee19e59203d6934e5a662e5","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4632621,"id":"Q4632621"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$718F4635-264C-4AB6-94F9-92DCCCB74998","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"6690fbd8751335ae545bcc123a8af46bd41a0389","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4530987,"id":"Q4530987"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$479D413E-9C10-4D13-BACE-1D8590BB09E9","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"a99c0e6e17b7f749cf410d177a76442424dacfa6","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1289667,"id":"Q1289667"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$5BBD7D6D-FC54-4401-95DC-262A8DDC0A17","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"2ac90ca345a834de77f32230fffc99d98103050b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":1919718,"id":"Q1919718"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$5084844D-63EC-46AF-90D9-017FEEC3CD49","rank":"normal"}],"P27":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P27","hash":"19bd10f5df5462089da9a83c66ac3cc9ec0839c9","datavalue":{"value":"10.1287/DECA.2020.0424","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q5868919$61560F28-04EC-4C09-8CB7-7FCB1AB7A44D","rank":"normal"}]},"sitelinks":{"mardi":{"site":"mardi","title":"Scoring Probability Forecasts by a User\u2019s Bets Against a Market Consensus","badges":[]}}}}}