{"entities":{"Q6673309":{"pageid":14392699,"ns":120,"title":"Item:Q6673309","lastrevid":56906613,"modified":"2026-03-24T13:43:25Z","type":"item","id":"Q6673309","labels":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"Data and code for analysis of effects of climate change on kangaskhan and summary of simulations from Warren et al. 2020"}},"descriptions":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"Dataset published at Zenodo repository."}},"aliases":{},"claims":{"P31":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P31","hash":"dae155fd0809a7906855cd4fa50dd7d71bed552b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":56885,"id":"Q56885"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q6673309$57199DB9-AEC7-487E-BD6D-6F6628C2BDF7","rank":"normal"}],"P1459":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1459","hash":"378e55a6b1fa3342146569df62037e327aa79e36","datavalue":{"value":"Species distribution models (SDMs) are frequently used to predict the effects of climate change on species of conservation concern.\u00a0Biases inherent in the process of constructing SDMs and transferring them to new climate scenarios may result in undesirable conservation outcomes.\u00a0We explore these issues and demonstrate new methods to estimate biases induced by the design of SDM studies.\u00a0We present these methods in the context of estimating the effects of climate change on Australia's only endemic Pok\u00e9mon.\u00a0Using a citizen science data set, we build species distribution models for G. kangaskhani to predict the effects of climate change on the suitability of habitat for the species.\u00a0We demonstrate a novel Monte Carlo procedure for estimating the biases implicit in a given study design, and compare the results seen for Pok\u00e9mon to those seen from our Monte Carlo tests as well as previous studies in the same region using both simulated and real data.\u00a0Our models suggest that climate change will impact the suitability of habitat for G. kangaskhani, which may compound the effects of threats such as habitat loss and their use in blood sport.\u00a0However, we also find that using SDMs to estimate the effects of climate change can be accompanied by biases so strong that the data itself has minimal impact on modeling outcomes.\u00a0 We show that the direction and magnitude of bias in estimates of climate change impacts are affected by every aspect of the modeling process, and suggest that bias estimates should be included in future studies of this type.\u00a0Given the widespread use of SDMs, systemic biases could have substantial financial and opportunity costs.\u00a0By demonstrating these biases and presenting a novel statistical tool to estimate them, we hope to provide a more secure future for G. kangaskhani and the rest of the world's 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