{"entities":{"Q7000893":{"pageid":21508338,"ns":120,"title":"Item:Q7000893","lastrevid":83103863,"modified":"2026-05-07T06:03:47Z","type":"item","id":"Q7000893","labels":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"A Markovian Aging Process Forecasting Model: Predicting U.S. Mortality"}},"descriptions":{"en":{"language":"en","value":"scientific article; zbMATH DE number 8023566"}},"aliases":{},"claims":{"P31":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P31","hash":"fd5912e4dab4b881a8eb0eb27e7893fef55176ad","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":56887,"id":"Q56887"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$576BD8AA-0B20-48E3-8588-22197CAEA93A","rank":"normal"}],"P159":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P159","hash":"25db31cf90211d2ed5e38696cdcb33f6ad03e6b2","datavalue":{"value":{"text":"A Markovian Aging Process Forecasting Model: Predicting U.S. Mortality","language":"en"},"type":"monolingualtext"},"datatype":"monolingualtext"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$C717BC0E-09FA-4259-A28D-A910500EF02F","rank":"normal"}],"P225":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P225","hash":"a0caeac8bd6504b919826f93cd8d0db65eca578b","datavalue":{"value":"1565.91154","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$A5E7A9F2-D636-4CD6-96A4-9239AC16FF78","rank":"normal"}],"P27":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P27","hash":"0eec6772db9ee4cf7dd210944d2c45eca860c59b","datavalue":{"value":"10.1080/10920277.2024.2325343","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$1BBB0819-50DF-4C4D-82DA-751692912584","rank":"normal"}],"P16":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"21600deb46fc10b281b12b9f0acc6fccf18a530a","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":7000892,"id":"Q7000892"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$2B6E6C5D-7B69-4895-967F-891FA82EA5EE","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P16","hash":"237664e7b4bd36e32ce0e95a12286a26361b1955","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2868607,"id":"Q2868607"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$AAA07828-9897-4147-8018-6B9267D2DB91","rank":"normal"}],"P200":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P200","hash":"c8594dcd3572f0fd535d7fbbbb9a281a9914726a","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":59397,"id":"Q59397"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$7B016D87-A46D-4967-98EB-2BA9375B6CA0","rank":"normal"}],"P28":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P28","hash":"7221f3922fb3228d83e0ca7e1f4252200970e037","datavalue":{"value":{"time":"+2025-04-07T00:00:00Z","timezone":0,"before":0,"after":0,"precision":11,"calendarmodel":"http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1985727"},"type":"time"},"datatype":"time"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$D0A90522-813C-47A9-990D-6755B6144239","rank":"normal"}],"P1448":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1448","hash":"e695363427365c5ed109fc56349724a54daed432","datavalue":{"value":"Forecasting mortality rates and life expectancy has long been a crucial problem in many scientific disciplines, including insurance, economics, and demographics.\\N\\NThe authors ``provide a novel finite-state Markov model for predicting death rates. The Markovian physiological age, which forms the basis of this model, is represented by the states in the underlying continuous-time Markov chain. This model forecasts mortality rates for the Markovian physiological age, for which mortality rates for calendar ages can be easily computed. A set of data from the U.S. population is used to calibrate the model. The data collection includes individuals aged 30 to 108 and covers the years 1970 to 2019.'' \\N\\NThe model is trained using data from 1970 to 2014 and then it is tested using data from 2015 to 2019. \\N\\N``Based on metrics utilized for training and test datasets, the suggested model outperforms the models of both Lee and Carter [\\textit{R. D. Lee} and \\textit{L. R. Carter}, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 87, No. 419, 659--675 (1992; Zbl 1351.62186)] and Renshaw and Haberman [\\textit{A. E. Renshaw} and \\textit{S. Haberman}, Insur. Math. Econ. 38, No. 3, 556--570 (2006; Zbl 1168.91418)].'' \\N\\NThe model uses fewer model parameters than the comparable models and, unlike the Lee Carter model, is identifiable.","type":"string"},"datatype":"string"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$F1A9EAAD-00FF-435A-B84E-A8BE885E470C","rank":"normal"}],"P1447":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1447","hash":"5f7441be64b8499c70b7e03f07a670da8ab6fb7c","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":589935,"id":"Q589935"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$2F9E1054-2F15-4A03-8624-5953C06D8D01","rank":"normal"}],"P226":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"dca30a6ec24eddc05bb2fc77670e5d2e11d3deaf","datavalue":{"value":"91G05","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$F7E39B01-EF79-4F05-89C7-1936DF39FE85","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P226","hash":"5324c54a5b1cbe1a80cf6fd5ed624d38a1676138","datavalue":{"value":"60J27","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$3D56E0E7-2CF0-4ECB-A8D2-D6359D064619","rank":"normal"}],"P1451":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1451","hash":"a003f18af027bc1083849f16a94fdf048dfc4569","datavalue":{"value":"8023566","type":"string"},"datatype":"external-id"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$BAD0EE48-F427-402F-B6BF-F503F07662C1","rank":"normal"}],"P1460":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P1460","hash":"57f7fea50d2ce1b39b695c4a1313582eed405e38","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5976449,"id":"Q5976449"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$A9A83543-5F20-4F3A-9EF2-2D71E72F49D7","rank":"normal"}],"P223":[{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"278f5a8a0e6c17216ebdd2ddee786e9e7626f422","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":59392,"id":"Q59392"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$0BB3E913-0AF5-4D8B-BB74-259C25E359D6","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"43c4543ad3968d30a9639292edad73663864fafa","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4987078,"id":"Q4987078"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$21F70465-3C57-4EF8-856C-43F4BF6D9EBF","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"a394bb99bb34a387dc51757912aeb250e2e2b93b","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4943605,"id":"Q4943605"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$57441D59-0293-4D3B-AD6B-B1FE251F3904","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"91c61742056133e7679e8ef2f91b6e06b593de73","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3838095,"id":"Q3838095"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$065B3EA2-798E-4B1D-86D5-CB2BBEF6F9D4","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"f8672691803db02ceb9e8889220948d655442333","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5029052,"id":"Q5029052"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$68A848CB-2D7C-433E-96D7-E899DBBADC02","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"2edbd3b80f3391a0222ec7c64b271e02bcc553c3","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4987084,"id":"Q4987084"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$8B7A19C0-02EE-4002-9F1E-195C34719772","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"1f003727c0ea0393f1a2aba4cd988a76f1762323","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":661248,"id":"Q661248"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$FCE8C1D7-74CD-477F-A05A-A4EDB2FF5936","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"8ad7bfe4d582e02d1fc3ee57497733ecf91c7a01","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2073557,"id":"Q2073557"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$9398F4FD-0137-4A33-B988-BFBED8ED02FE","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"2be49fb1c1dcd4852feae5eea1ce3c0b4ca743b3","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5480304,"id":"Q5480304"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$6C890D91-5992-435D-9B77-489CC1134A28","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"b5e3678da49da22fdec1f1cf19f88d230fdfff5a","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4229475,"id":"Q4229475"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$C1DBD491-51C7-44AB-9860-1CBE96045E4B","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"2557b0e88aca872a2abcbe96a02f5dd6caf05e4c","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4236284,"id":"Q4236284"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$972F30D7-BD79-458D-A99A-9DD098A2F181","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"11af9bee7dade8ee910147e46850bd1292367973","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":104754,"id":"Q104754"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$8C0CEC7D-CFE1-468A-A81B-F56B03AE7167","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"ebf27b0c0b75983e67dc21b7d575717b2c8c2477","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":5019770,"id":"Q5019770"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$0306D551-C84D-4DAC-B48C-76120BAEB983","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"3500268b590fc7eac9bca2f8630ddf7ae0c9bdaa","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2391941,"id":"Q2391941"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$F25A6EC9-3254-4327-A852-ED23D5DB80FE","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"8f84072ef588f20b05d6a162c9bd5912b8f7723a","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":4608824,"id":"Q4608824"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$5D6702C6-18B0-4545-87E5-5428D7796F71","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"739866e44f894220fc9d12f17bdb9ad95dfa3d35","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":3479364,"id":"Q3479364"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$380287DF-3794-4526-B034-D59EC59E8001","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"c0f837335ddb5214cbbf82cce99f425c6d9c511c","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":159205,"id":"Q159205"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$E79DA2D7-2375-4058-B137-67B2E3FA528E","rank":"normal"},{"mainsnak":{"snaktype":"value","property":"P223","hash":"0a32f8d374ee46bc8c35daaeff3c0da1f765a466","datavalue":{"value":{"entity-type":"item","numeric-id":2499833,"id":"Q2499833"},"type":"wikibase-entityid"},"datatype":"wikibase-item"},"type":"statement","id":"Q7000893$B488166B-07F2-48BE-BE69-CF135B347AFA","rank":"normal"}]},"sitelinks":{"mardi":{"site":"mardi","title":"A Markovian Aging Process Forecasting Model: Predicting U.S. Mortality","badges":[],"url":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/wiki/A_Markovian_Aging_Process_Forecasting_Model:_Predicting_U.S._Mortality"}}}}}