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Kaufmann}'s claim [J. Philos. Log. 33, No. 6, 583--606 (2004; Zbl 1061.03011)] that in certain cases the probability of a conditional \\(A \\rightarrow B\\) should be different from the associated conditional probability \\(\\text{Pr}(B| A)\\). While the conditional probability results in \\(\\text{Pr}(A \\rightarrow C)=\\sum_{X_i \\in \\text{range}(X)} \\text{Pr}(C | A X_i) \\text{Pr}(X_i | A)\\), Kaufmann suggests that in the specified circumstances \\(\\text{Pr}(A \\rightarrow C)=\\sum_{X_i \\in \\text{range}(X)} \\text{Pr}(C | A X_i)\\text{Pr}(X_i)\\) better accords with our intuition.  Douven gives a new description of this sort of case, and shows how Kaufmann's rule leads to two inconsistent probability assignments. 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