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Revision as of 17:02, 4 March 2024
Utilities for Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts
Language | Label | Description | Also known as |
---|---|---|---|
English | aggutils |
Utilities for Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts |
Statements
Provides several methods for aggregating probabilistic forecasts. You have a group of people who have made probabilistic forecasts for the same event. You want to take advantage of the "wisdom of the crowd" and combine these forecasts in some sensible way. This package provides implementations of several strategies, including geometric mean of odds, an extremized aggregate (Neyman, Roughgarden (2021) <doi:10.1145/3490486.3538243>), and "high-density trimmed mean" (Powell et al. (2022) <doi:10.1037/dec0000191>).
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22 August 2023
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