Threshold dynamics and ergodicity of an SIRS epidemic model with Markovian switching (Q2411389)
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English | Threshold dynamics and ergodicity of an SIRS epidemic model with Markovian switching |
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Threshold dynamics and ergodicity of an SIRS epidemic model with Markovian switching (English)
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20 October 2017
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The authors consider the classical SIR epidemic model with some modifications, namely, with nonlinear incidence and varying population size in the form of a piecewise Markov process. In this case, the transmission rate \(\beta\) depends is driven by a homogeneous continuous-time Markov chain \(r(t),\) i.e., \(\beta_{r(t)},\) and the incidence rate of disease is \(\beta_{r(t)}S(t)G(I(t)\) instead of \(\beta S(t)I(t)\) compare with the classical model, where \(S(t)\) and \(I(t)\) are the numbers of susceptible and infectious, respectively, and \(G\) is a general function. The authors study the extinction and persistence of the disease of their model, and determine the threshold between them. In the case of the disease persistence, they also analyze the ergodic behaviour, the global attractively of the \(\Omega\)-limit set and the convergence in total variation to the stationary measure of the model.
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stochastic SIRS epidemic model
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piecewise deterministic Markov process
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stationary distribution
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\(\Omega\)-limit set
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attractor
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Markov switching
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