The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy
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Publication:540415
DOI10.1007/s00199-010-0549-7zbMath1214.91089MaRDI QIDQ540415
Maik H. Wolters, Volker Wieland
Publication date: 3 June 2011
Published in: Economic Theory (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/files/7902/10_08.pdf
business cycles; forecasting; model uncertainty; Bayesian estimation; heterogeneous beliefs; forecast distribution
91B64: Macroeconomic theory (monetary models, models of taxation)
91B74: Economic models of real-world systems (e.g., electricity markets, etc.)
91B82: Statistical methods; economic indices and measures
91B69: Heterogeneous agent models
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