Bayesian change point detection for functional data
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Publication:830722
DOI10.1016/J.JSPI.2020.11.012zbMATH Open1465.62083arXiv1808.01236OpenAlexW3106848798MaRDI QIDQ830722FDOQ830722
Publication date: 7 May 2021
Published in: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: We propose a Bayesian method to detect change points for functional data. We extract the features of a sequence of functional data by the discrete wavelet transform (DWT), and treat each sequence of feature independently. We believe there is potentially a change in each feature at possibly different time points. The functional data evolves through such changes throughout the sequences of observations. The change point for this sequence of functional data is the cumulative effect of changes in all features. We assign the features with priors which incorporate the characteristic of the wavelet coefficients. Then we compute the posterior distribution of change point for each sequence of feature, and define a matrix where each entry is a measure of similarity between two functional data in this sequence. We compute the ratio of the mean similarity between groups and within groups for all possible partitions, and the change point is where the ratio reaches the minimum. We demonstrate this method using a dataset on climate change.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.01236
Nonparametric hypothesis testing (62G10) Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12) Climate science and climate modeling (86A08) Functional data analysis (62R10)
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