A note on the validity of cross-validation for evaluating autoregressive time series prediction

DOI10.1016/J.CSDA.2017.11.003zbMath1469.62021OpenAlexW2770188460MaRDI QIDQ138202

Christoph Bergmeir, Rob J. Hyndman, Bonsoo Koo, Rob Hyndman, Bonsoo Koo, Christoph Bergmeir

Publication date: April 2018

Published in: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2017.11.003

zbMATH Keywords

time seriescross-validationautoregression

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Computational methods for problems pertaining to statistics (62-08) Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10)

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Uses Software

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• expsmooth
• forecastML

Cites Work

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• Consistency in Nonlinear Econometric Models: A Generic Uniform Law of Large Numbers
• DATA-DEPENDENT ESTIMATION OF PREDICTION FUNCTIONS
• On a measure of lack of fit in time series models
• A cross-validatory method for dependent data

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