Disaggregatton in population forecasting: Do we need it? And how to do it simply

DOI10.1080/08898489509525403zbMath0900.92192OpenAlexW2130924601WikidataQ40979113 ScholiaQ40979113MaRDI QIDQ4353449

Ronald D. Lee, None, Shripad D. Tuljapurkar

Publication date: 11 September 1997

Published in: Mathematical Population Studies (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/08898489509525403

zbMATH Keywords

demographycomplexityaccuracyfertilitymortality

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Mathematical geography and demography (91D20)

Related Items (3)

The Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality, with Various Extensions and Applications ⋮ Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: a functional data approach ⋮ Imparting structural instability to mortality forecasts: Testing for sensitive dependence on initial conditions with innovations

Cites Work

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• Forecasting Births in Post-Transition Populations: Stochastic Renewal with Serially Correlated Fertility
• Population forecasting: Do simple models outperform complex models?
• Are mortality projections always more pessimistic when disaggregated by cause of death?
• Joint Forecasts of U.S. Marital Fertility, Nuptiality, Births, and Marriages Using Time Series Models

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