Bayesian Logistic Betting Strategy Against Probability Forecasting
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Publication:4916954
DOI10.1080/07362994.2013.741418zbMath1291.91043arXiv1204.3496MaRDI QIDQ4916954
Masayuki Kumon, Jing Li, Kei Takeuchi, Akimichi Takemura
Publication date: 26 April 2013
Published in: Stochastic Analysis and Applications (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.3496
exponential family; laws of large numbers; game-theoretic probability; Bayesian logistic regression; rain forecasts
60G42: Martingales with discrete parameter
62C10: Bayesian problems; characterization of Bayes procedures
60F15: Strong limit theorems
60G40: Stopping times; optimal stopping problems; gambling theory
91A60: Probabilistic games; gambling
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