Projecting the future burden of cancer: Bayesian age–period–cohort analysis with integrated nested Laplace approximations

DOI10.1002/bimj.201500263zbMath1422.62332OpenAlexW2585253120WikidataQ38764045 ScholiaQ38764045MaRDI QIDQ5348692

Andrea Riebler, Leonhard Held

Publication date: 18 August 2017

Published in: Biometrical Journal (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/bimj.201500263

zbMATH Keywords

integrated nested Laplace approximationscontinuous ranked probability scorepredictive qualityBayesian age-period-cohort modelcancer projection

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Bayesian inference (62F15)

Related Items

A review and comparison of age-period-cohort models for cancer incidence ⋮ Calibration tests for multivariate Gaussian forecasts

Uses Software

• R
• WinBUGS
• Demography
• Fahrmeir
• BAPC

Cites Work

• Unnamed Item
• Unnamed Item
• Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts
• Sensitivity analysis for Bayesian hierarchical models
• On model expansion, model contraction, identifiability and prior information: two illustrative scenarios involving mismeasured variables
• Bayesian computation and stochastic systems. With comments and reply.
• A review and comparison of age-period-cohort models for cancer incidence
• Estimation and extrapolation of time trends in registry data -- borrowing strength from related populations
• A cohort-based extension to the Lee-Carter model for mortality reduction factors
• Approximate Bayesian Inference for Latent Gaussian models by using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations
• A Score Regression Approach to Assess Calibration of Continuous Probabilistic Predictions
• Age-period-cohort analysis in the 1870s: Diagrams, stereograms, and the basic differential equation
• Forecasting with the age-period-cohort model and the extended chain-ladder model
• Statistical inference in the Lexis diagram
• Lung cancer rate predictions using generalized additive models
• Application of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods to Projecting Cancer Incidence and Mortality
• Modeling of Time Trends and Interactions in Vital Rates Using Restricted Regression Splines
• Rethinking age-period-cohort mortality trend models
• On Testing the Validity of Sequential Probability Forecasts
• Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation
• Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness
• Multivariate statistical modelling based on generalized linear models.
• Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (Comment on article by Browne and Draper)