A new stochastic framework for ship capsizing

Authors Manuela L. Bujorianu, Robert S. MacKay, Tobias Grafke, Shibabrat Naik, Evangelos Boulougouris

Publication date 12 May 2021

Asymptotic properties of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D05) Stability of manifolds of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D35) Invariant manifold theory for dynamical systems (37D10) Periodic, homoclinic and heteroclinic orbits of finite-dimensional Hamiltonian systems (37J46) Computational methods for invariant manifolds of dynamical systems (37M21) Dynamical systems in classical and celestial mechanics (37N05) Large deviations (60F10) Stochastic processes (60G99) Continuous-time Markov processes on general state spaces (60J25)

Abstract: We present a new stochastic framework for studying ship capsize. It is a synthesis of two strands of transition state theory. The first is an extension of deterministic transition state theory to dissipative non-autonomous systems, together with a probability distribution over the forcing functions. The second is stochastic reachability and large deviation theory for transition paths in Markovian systems. In future work we aim to bring these together to make a tool for predicting capsize rate in different stochastic sea states, suggesting control strategies and improving designs.

This page was built for publication: A new stochastic framework for ship capsizing

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q6367535)