Asymptotics of Posteriors for Binary Branching Processes

DOI10.1239/JAP/1222441826MaRDI QIDQ3535634zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Didier Piau

Publication date 13 November 2008

Published in Journal of Applied Probability (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/0806.1173

zbMATH Keywords

Bayesian estimationbranching processpolymerase chain reaction

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Branching processes (Galton-Watson, birth-and-death, etc.) (60J80) Applications of branching processes (60J85) Population dynamics (general) (92D25)

Abstract: We compute the posterior distributions of the initial population and parameter of binary branching processes, in the limit of a large number of generations. We compare this Bayesian procedure with a more na"ive one, based on hitting times of some random walks. In both cases, central limit theorems are available, with explicit variances.

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Cites work

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• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4024510 (Why is no real title available?)
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Cited in

(4)

• Convergence of the population dynamics algorithm in the Wasserstein metric
• Asymptotic inference for non-supercritical partially observed branching processes
• Asymptotic inference for partially observed branching processes
• On asymptotic posterior normality for controlled branching processes

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