Asymptotics of one-dimensional forest fire processes

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Abstract: We consider the so-called one-dimensional forest fire process. At each site of mathbbZ, a tree appears at rate 1. At each site of mathbbZ, a fire starts at rate lambda>0, immediately destroying the whole corresponding connected component of trees. We show that when lambda is made to tend to 0 with an appropriate normalization, the forest fire process tends to a uniquely defined process, the dynamics of which we precisely describe. The normalization consists of accelerating time by a factor log(1/lambda) and of compressing space by a factor lambdalog(1/lambda). The limit process is quite simple: it can be built using a graphical construction and can be perfectly simulated. Finally, we derive some asymptotic estimates (when lambdao0) for the cluster-size distribution of the forest fire process.


Two families of independent Poisson processes, one with rate \(1\) another with rate \(\lambda \), are combined to model the so-called one-dimensional forest fire process (FFP). It is known that, from the point of view of self-organized criticality, an interesting behavior appears in the asymptotic regime \(\lambda \rightarrow 0\). The asymptotic behavior of such \(\lambda \)-FFP model as \(\lambda \rightarrow 0\) has been studied heuristically and numerically. However, mathematically rigorous results are scarse. In this paper a limit theorem is derived rigorusly, showing that the \(\lambda \)-FFP converges (under suitable rescaling) to some limit forest fire process. Its dynamics is precisely described. The limiting process is unique, can be built by means of a graphical construction and is amenable to reliable simulations. Asymptotic estimates are derived for the cluster-size distribution of the forest fire process.











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