BayesPostEst

MaRDI QIDQ7369490CRANFDO

Authors Johannes Karreth, Shana Scogin, Rob Williams, Andreas Beger

Last update 27 September 2026

Copyright license GNU General Public License, version 3.0

Software version identifier 0.0.1, 0.1.0, 0.2.0, 0.2.1, 0.3.1, 0.3.2, 0.4.0, PACKAGES.rds, 0.4.1

Description

An implementation of functions to generate and plot postestimation quantities after estimating Bayesian regression models using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Functionality includes the estimation of the Precision-Recall curves (see Beger, 2016 <doi:10.2139/ssrn.2765419>), the implementation of the observed values method of calculating predicted probabilities by Hanmer and Kalkan (2013) <doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2012.00602.x>, the implementation of the average value method of calculating predicted probabilities (see King, Tomz, and Wittenberg, 2000 <doi:10.2307/2669316>), and the generation and plotting of first differences to summarize typical effects across covariates (see Long 1997, ISBN:9780803973749; King, Tomz, and Wittenberg, 2000 <doi:10.2307/2669316>). This package can be used with MCMC output generated by any Bayesian estimation tool including 'JAGS', 'BUGS', 'MCMCpack', and 'Stan'.

Cites work

• Behind the Curve: Clarifying the Best Approach to Calculating Predicted Probabilities and Marginal Effects from Limited Dependent Variable Models
• Making the Most of Statistical Analyses: Improving Interpretation and Presentation
• Precision-Recall Curves

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