Bayesian analysis with limited communication
The \(i\)th individual in a group of \(m\) observes the random quantity \(X_ i\), where \(\underset\tilde {} X=(X_ 1,X_ 2,\dots,X_ m)\) has density \(g(\underset\tilde {} x\mid\theta)\) and \(\theta\) is an unknown parameter. Only a limited amount of information can be communicated and so the \(i\)th individual reports \(y_ i=h(x_ i)\). It is required to make inferences about \(\theta\) given a prior distribution on \(\theta\) and \(\underset\tilde {} y=(y_ 1,y_ 2,\dots,y_ m)\). Two versions of the problem are described. The first is where there is a common prior and \(y_ i\) is the posterior distribution of member \(i\) and the second is where \(\underset\tilde {} y\) is chosen to optimise the information communicated subject to a constraint on the amount that can be communicated.
- A note on Bayes designs for inference using a hierarchical linear model
- Combining Probability Distributions from Dependent Information Sources
- Combining probability distributions: A critique and an annotated bibliography
- Expected information as ecpected utility
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- Optimal Bayesian experimental design for linear models
- Optimal Linear Opinion Pools
- Reconciliation of Probability Distributions
- Reliability (and Fault Tree) Analysis Using Expert Opinions
- Updating of Belief in the Light of Someone Else's Opinion
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