Bayesian calibration of stochastic agent based model via random forest

DOI10.1002/SIM.70029MaRDI QIDQ6914322zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Connor Robertson, Cosmin Safta, Nicholson Collier, Jonathan Ozik, Jaideep Ray

Publication date 17 October 2025

Published in Statistics in Medicine (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1002/SIM.70029

zbMATH Keywords

agent-based modelingBayesian calibrationepidemiologymachine learning surrogateMCMC

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10)

Cites work

• Agent-based model calibration using machine learning surrogates
• Bayesian estimation of agent-based models
• Calibrating a stochastic, agent-based model using quantile-based emulation
• Global sensitivity indices for nonlinear mathematical models and their Monte Carlo estimates
• Microsimulation model calibration using incremental mixture approximate Bayesian computation
• Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC
• Predicting tipping points in mutualistic networks through dimension reduction
• Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness
• Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation
• The Elements of Statistical Learning

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