Bayesian model comparison and model averaging for small-area estimation
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Abstract: This paper considers small-area estimation with lung cancer mortality data, and discusses the choice of upper-level model for the variation over areas. Inference about the random effects for the areas may depend strongly on the choice of this model, but this choice is not a straightforward matter. We give a general methodology for both evaluating the data evidence for different models and averaging over plausible models to give robust area effect distributions. We reanalyze the data of Tsutakawa [Biometrics 41 (1985) 69--79] on lung cancer mortality rates in Missouri cities, and show the differences in conclusions about the city rates from this methodology.
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Cited in
(12)- Model selection in linear mixed models
- A unified Monte-Carlo jackknife for small area estimation after model selection
- Modelling multivariate, overdispersed binomial data with additive and multiplicative random effects
- Bayesian prediction in linear models: Applications to small area estimation
- A comparison of adjusted Bayes Estimators of an ensemble of small area parameters
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6533391 (Why is no real title available?)
- Default Bayesian model determination methods for generalised linear mixed models
- Equivalence between the posterior distribution of the likelihood ratio and a p-value in an invariant frame
- Classification based on multivariate mixed type longitudinal data with an application to the EU-SILC database
- Improving multi-site benefit functions via Bayesian model averaging: A new approach to benefit transfer
- A two-stage Bayesian small area estimation approach for proportions
- Improvement over bayes prediction in small samples in the presence of model uncertainty
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