Bayesian motion estimation for dust aerosols

DOI10.1214/15-AOAS835MaRDI QIDQ902905zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Fabian E. Bachl, Alex Lenkoski, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Christoph S. Garbe

Publication date 4 January 2016

Published in The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1308.0469, https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aoas/1446488740

zbMATH Keywords

integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA)optical flowremote sensingsatellite dataGaussian Markov random fieldHorn and Schunck modelintegrated continuity equationSaharan dust stormstorm tracking

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Random fields; image analysis (62M40) Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12)

Abstract: Dust storms in the earth's major desert regions significantly influence microphysical weather processes, the CO${}_2$-cycle and the global climate in general. Recent increases in the spatio-temporal resolution of remote sensing instruments have created new opportunities to understand these phenomena. However, the scale of the data collected and the inherent stochasticity of the underlying process pose significant challenges, requiring a careful combination of image processing and statistical techniques. In particular, using satellite imagery data, we develop a statistical model of atmospheric transport that relies on a latent Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) for inference. In doing so, we make a link between the optical flow method of Horn and Schunck and the formulation of the transport process as a latent field in a generalized linear model, which enables the use of the integrated nested Laplace approximation for inference. This framework is specified such that it satisfies the so-called integrated continuity equation, thereby intrinsically expressing the divergence of the field as a multiplicative factor covering air compressibility and satellite column projection. The importance of this step -- as well as treating the problem in a fully statistical manner -- is emphasized by a simulation study where inference based on this latent GMRF clearly reduces errors of the estimated flow field. We conclude with a study of the dynamics of dust storms formed over Saharan Africa and show that our methodology is able to accurately and coherently track the storm movement, a critical problem in this field.

Recommendations

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6400888
• Modeling space-time dynamics of aerosols using satellite data and atmospheric transport model output
• An ensemble Kalman filter and smoother for satellite data assimilation
• Spatial Statistical Data Fusion for Remote Sensing Applications
• Solving ill-posed image processing problems using data assimilation

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3513115 (Why is no real title available?)
• A Kernel-Based Spatio-Temporal Dynamical Model for Nowcasting Weather Radar Reflectivities
• A review of image-warping methods
• An explicit link between Gaussian fields and Gaussian Markov random fields: the stochastic partial differential equation approach
• Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations (with discussion)
• Bayesian motion estimation for dust aerosols
• Gaussian Markov Random Fields
• Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling

Cited in

(3)

• Modeling space-time dynamics of aerosols using satellite data and atmospheric transport model output
• Bayesian motion estimation for dust aerosols
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6400888 (Why is no real title available?)

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• GMRFLib

This page was built for publication: Bayesian motion estimation for dust aerosols

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q902905)