Bayesian semi-parametric estimation of the long-memory parameter under FEXP-priors

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Abstract: For a Gaussian time series with long-memory behavior, we use the FEXP-model for semi-parametric estimation of the long-memory parameter d. The true spectral density fo is assumed to have long-memory parameter do and a FEXP-expansion of Sobolev-regularity . We prove that when k follows a Poisson or geometric prior, or a sieve prior increasing at rate , d converges to do at a suboptimal rate. When the sieve prior increases at rate however, the minimax rate is almost obtained. Our results can be seen as a Bayesian equivalent of the result which Moulines and Soulier obtained for some frequentist estimators.



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