Bounding the maximum likelihood degree
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Applications of commutative algebra (e.g., to statistics, control theory, optimization, etc.) (13P25) Other algebro-geometric (co)homologies (e.g., intersection, equivariant, Lawson, Deligne (co)homologies) (14F43) Topological properties in algebraic geometry (14F45) Stratifications; constructible sheaves; intersection cohomology (complex-analytic aspects) (32S60) Intersection homology and cohomology in algebraic topology (55N33) Characterization and structure theory of statistical distributions (62E10) Estimation in multivariate analysis (62H12)
Abstract: Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. In this note, we give a bound for the maximum likelihood degree of algebraic statistical models for discrete data. As usual, such models are identified with special very affine varieties. Using earlier work of Franecki and Kapranov, we prove that the maximum likelihood degree is always less or equal to the signed intersection-cohomology Euler characteristic. We construct counterexamples to a bound in terms of the usual Euler characteristic conjectured by Huh and Sturmfels.
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