Bridges of Markov counting processes: quantitative estimates

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Abstract: In this paper we investigate the behavior of the bridges of a Markov counting process in several directions. We first characterize convexity(concavity) in time of the mean value in terms of lower (upper) bounds on the so called extit{reciprocal characteristics}. This result gives a natural criterion to determine whether bridges are "lazy" or "hurried". Under the hypothesis of global bounds on the reciprocal characteristics we prove sharp estimates for the marginal distributions and a comparison theorem for the jump times. When the height of the bridge tends to infinity we show the convergence to a deterministic curve, after a proper rescaling.









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