Capturing rogue waves by multi-point statistics

DOI10.1088/1367-2630/18/1/013017MaRDI QIDQ5854918zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors

Publication date 12 March 2021

Published in New Journal of Physics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1508.00399

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Fokker-Planck equations (35Q84) Water waves, gravity waves; dispersion and scattering, nonlinear interaction (76B15)

Abstract: As an example for complex systems with extreme events we investigate ocean wave states exhibiting rogue waves. We present a statistical method of data analysis based on multi-point statistics which for the first time allows grasping extreme rogue wave events in a statistically highly satisfactory manner. The key to the success of the approach is mapping the complexity of multi-point data onto the statistics of hierarchically ordered height increments for different time scales for which we can show that a stochastic cascade process with Markov properties is governed by a Fokker-Planck equation. Conditional probabilities as well as the Fokker-Planck equation itself can be estimated directly from the available observational data. With this stochastic description surrogate data sets can in turn be generated allowing to work out arbitrary statistical features of the complex sea state in general and extreme rogue wave events in particular. The results also open up new perspectives for forecasting the occurrence probability of extreme rogue wave events, and even for forecasting the occurrence of individual rogue waves based on precursory dynamics.

Recommendations

• Statistics of rogue waves in isotropic wave fields
• Rogue waves and large deviations in deep sea
• Rogue Waves in Higher Order Nonlinear Schrödinger Models
• Linear and nonlinear rogue wave statistics in the presence of random currents
• Weakly nonlinear and stochastic properties of ocean wave fields. Application to an extreme wave event

Cited in

(6)

• Representing rogue waves in minimal form
• Multicanonical analysis of rogue wave probabilities
• Characterizing JONSWAP rogue waves and their statistics via inverse spectral data
• Anomalous waves as an object of statistical topography: problem statement
• Statistics of rogue waves in isotropic wave fields
• Instanton based importance sampling for rare events in stochastic pdes

This page was built for publication: Capturing rogue waves by multi-point statistics

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q5854918)