Combinatorially random curves on surfaces

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Abstract: We study topological properties of random closed curves on an orientable surface S of negative Euler characteristic. Letting gamman denote the conjugacy class of the nth step of a simple random walk on the Cayley graph driven by a measure whose support is on a finite generating set, then with probability converging to 1 as n goes to infinity, (1) the point in Teichm"uller space at which gamman is length-minimized stays in some compact set; (2) the self-intersection number of gamman is on the order of n2, the minimum length of gamman taken over all hyperbolic metrics is on the order of n, and the metric minimizing the length of gamman is uniformly thick; and (3) when S is punctured and the distribution is uniform and supported on a generating set of minimum size, the minimum degree of a cover to which gamman admits a simple elevation (which we call the extitsimpleliftingdegree of gamman) grows at least like n/log(n) and at most on the order of n. We also show that these properties are extitgeneric, in the sense that the proportion of elements in the ball of radius n in the Cayley graph for which they hold, converges to 1 as n goes to infinity. The lower bounds on simple lifting degree for randomly chosen curves we obtain significantly improve the previously best known bounds which were on the order of log(1/3)n. As applications, we give relatively sharp upper and lower bounds on the dilatation of a generic point-pushing pseudo-Anosov homeomorphism in terms of the self-intersection number of its defining curve, as well as upper bounds on the simple lifting degree of a random curve in terms of its intersection number which outperform bounds for general curves.














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