Conditional regression for single-index models

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Abstract: The single-index model is a statistical model for intrinsic regression where responses are assumed to depend on a single yet unknown linear combination of the predictors, allowing to express the regression function as mathbbE[Y|X]=f(langlev,Xangle) for some unknown emph{index} vector v and emph{link} function f. Conditional methods provide a simple and effective approach to estimate v by averaging moments of X conditioned on Y, but depend on parameters whose optimal choice is unknown and do not provide generalization bounds on f. In this paper we propose a new conditional method converging at sqrtn rate under an explicit parameter characterization. Moreover, we prove that polynomial partitioning estimates achieve the 1-dimensional min-max rate for regression of H"older functions when combined to any sqrtn-convergent index estimator. Overall this yields an estimator for dimension reduction and regression of single-index models that attains statistical optimality in quasilinear time.














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