D-vine copula based quantile regression
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Computational methods for problems pertaining to statistics (62-08) Nonparametric regression and quantile regression (62G08) Characterization and structure theory for multivariate probability distributions; copulas (62H05) Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics (62P05)
Abstract: Quantile regression, that is the prediction of conditional quantiles, has steadily gained importance in statistical modeling and financial applications. The authors introduce a new semiparametric quantile regression method based on sequentially fitting a likelihood optimal D-vine copula to given data resulting in highly flexible models with easily extractable conditional quantiles. As a subclass of regular vine copulas, D-vines enable the modeling of multivariate copulas in terms of bivariate building blocks, a so-called pair-copula construction (PCC). The proposed algorithm works fast and accurate even in high dimensions and incorporates an automatic variable selection by maximizing the conditional log-likelihood. Further, typical issues of quantile regression such as quantile crossing or transformations, interactions and collinearity of variables are automatically taken care of. In a simulation study the improved accuracy and saved computational time of the approach in comparison with established quantile regression methods is highlighted. An extensive financial application to international credit default swap (CDS) data including stress testing and Value-at-Risk (VaR) prediction demonstrates the usefulness of the proposed method.
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Cites work
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- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1134711 (Why is no real title available?)
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Cited in
(29)- Nonparametric modal regression with mixed variables and application to analyze the GDP data
- Simplified R-vine based forward regression
- Prediction based on conditional distributions of vine copulas
- Solving Estimating Equations With Copulas
- Model distances for vine copulas in high dimensions
- Robust optimization of mixed CVaR STARR ratio using copulas
- A copula-based quantile model
- On classification with nonignorable missing data
- Vine copula regression for observational studies
- Bayesian variable selection for non‐Gaussian responses: a marginally calibrated copula approach
- On copula-based conditional quantile estimators
- Nonparametric C- and D-vine-based quantile regression
- Copulae: an overview and recent developments
- vinereg
- Copula deep learning control chart for multivariate zero inflated count response variables
- Single-index composite quantile regression for ultra-high-dimensional data
- Portfolio selection via D-vine copula-quantile regression method
- Single-index composite quantile regression for massive data
- Semi-parametric copula-based models under non-stationarity
- Copula-based link functions in binary regression models
- Evading the curse of dimensionality in nonparametric density estimation with simplified vine copulas
- A Time-Heterogeneous D-Vine Copula Model for Unbalanced and Unequally Spaced Longitudinal Data
- Predicting times to event based on vine copula models
- Modelling credit card exposure at default using vine copula quantile regression
- Flexible pair-copula estimation in D-vines using bivariate penalized splines
- Dependence properties of conditional distributions of some copula models
- High-Dimensional Spatial Quantile Function-on-Scalar Regression
- Copula-based regression models with data missing at random
- Data driven value-at-risk forecasting using a SVR-GARCH-KDE hybrid
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