Large Ensemble Dataset for Discovering Global Peak Water Limit of Future Groundwater Withdrawals Using 900 GCAM Runs
DOI10.5281/zenodo.6480465Zenodo6480465MaRDI QIDQ6688173FDOQ6688173
Dataset published at Zenodo repository.
Sean Turner, Jonathan R. Lamontagne, Mengqi Zhao, Son Kim, Hassan Niazi, Siwa Msangi, Neal Graham, Mohamad Hejazi, Thomas Wild
Publication date: 23 April 2022
Copyright license: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Global Groundwater Withdrawals PeakOver the 21st Century The large ensemble dataset contains groundwater related model outputs from 900 scenarios modeled using Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM). The scenario ensemblemembers include five Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), five global climate model outputs, three groundwater depletion limits, two surface water storage expansion regimes, and two historical groundwater depletion trends. Journal Article Niazi, H., Wild, T.B., Turner, S.W.D., Graham, N.T., Hejazi, M., Msangi, S., Kim, S., Lamontagne, J.R., Zhao, M. (2024).Global peak water limit of future groundwater withdrawals.Nature Sustainability, 7(4), 413422.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01306-w Read full-text here: https://rdcu.be/dFpb5 Data Repository This data repository is to be used in combination with themainmeta-repository containing all scripts and files for reproducing the experiment as well as the analysis and post-processing of the model outputs. Scripts and smaller files are provided in the GitHub meta-repository whereas larger files are provided in this data repository. Please complete the repository by placing the files as described hereunder. Please find the GitHub meta-repository here: https://github.com/JGCRI/niazi-etal_2024_nature-sustainability Descriptions of files: gcam-5.7z contains the GCAM version used to simulate900 scenarios of plausible futures. The model folder contains all necessary input files to reproduce the simulations. The model is to be used in combination with the meta-repositoryto setup batch runs on cluster. Please navigate to model/ folder forother scenario-specific and model setup folders and files. gcam-5is to be extracted in the same directory (./model/gcam-5/). For the first-time users of GCAM, please followguidance on GCAM wikito setup GCAM or for background knowledge. crop_yeild.7z: This file contains inputs related toclimate impacts on crop yields. This is to be downloaded and extractedin themodel/combined_impacts/folder. outputs-all.7z: Key model outputs queried and collated from 900 GCAM runs are explained hereunder.The files could be downloaded individually (.csvfiles)or all at once in .7z format (outputs-all.7z). These files are to be placed in the model/outputsfolder of the meta-repository. ag_prod_all_GW_scenarios.csv- Agricultural production across all scenario for 2050 and 2100 (tonnes) prices_water_withdrawal_all.csv -Water prices across all scenarios and years ($/km3) global_irrigated_prod_by_crop.csv-All irrigated agricultural production for each crop across and scenarios all years (tonnes) surface_water_production_all.csv- Runoff across all scenarios and years (km3) groundwater_production_FINAL.csv- Groundwater withdrawals across all scenarios and years (km3) water_withdrawals_desal_all.csv- Water withdrawals from desalination plants across all scenarios and years (km3) Short introduction to the study Using 900 GCAM runs, this study finds that global groundwater withdrawals are expected to peak around mid-century, followed by a decline through 21st century, exposing about half of the population living in one-third of basins to groundwater stress, with cost and availability of surface water storage being the most significant driver of future groundwater withdrawals. This first-ever robust, quantitative confirmation of the peak-and-decline pattern for groundwater, previously only known for fossil fuels and minerals, raises concerns for basins heavily dependent on groundwater. Niazi, H., Wild, T.B., Turner, S.W.D., Graham, N.T., Hejazi, M., Msangi, S., Kim, S., Lamontagne, J.R., Zhao, M. (2024).Global peak water limit of future groundwater withdrawals.Nature Sustainability, 7(4), 413422.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01306-w Read full-text here: https://rdcu.be/dFpb5 Contact Please reach out to Hassan Niazi athassan.niazi@pnnl.gov for any questions.
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