Development of the prediction graph method under incomplete and inaccurate expert estimates

DOI10.1007/S10559-018-0008-1MaRDI QIDQ1745697zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Yu. Ya. Samokhvalov

Publication date 18 April 2018

Published in Cybernetics and Systems Analysis (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/s10559-018-0008-1

zbMATH Keywords

predictionbeta distributionMonte Carlo methodexpertiseexperts' estimatesfuzzy estimatesgoal attainment timeprediction graph

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Monte Carlo methods (65C05) General systems (93A10) Control/observation systems with incomplete information (93C41) Stochastic systems in control theory (general) (93E03) Estimation and detection in stochastic control theory (93E10) Fuzzy control/observation systems (93C42)

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Cites work

• Generalized stochastic network models for the management of complex projects
• Group accounting of relative alternative superiority in decision-making problems

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(3)

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