Discreteness effects in population dynamics

DOI10.1088/1751-8113/49/20/205002MaRDI QIDQ2991911zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Esteban Guevara Hidalgo, Vivien Lecomte

Publication date 10 August 2016

Published in Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1512.01495

zbMATH Keywords

biased dynamicsbirth-death processcloning algorithmlarge deviation functionnumerical approachespopulation dynamics

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of branching processes (60J85) Population dynamics (general) (92D25)

Abstract: We analyse numerically the effects of small population size in the initial transient regime of a simple example population dynamics. These effects play an important role for the numerical determination of large deviation functions of additive observables for stochastic processes. A method commonly used in order to determine such functions is the so-called cloning algorithm which in its non-constant population version essentially reduces to the determination of the growth rate of a population, averaged over many realizations of the dynamics. However, the averaging of populations is highly dependent not only on the number of realizations of the population dynamics, and on the initial population size but also on the cut-off time (or population) considered to stop their numerical evolution. This may result in an over-influence of discreteness effects at initial times, caused by small population size. We overcome these effects by introducing a (realization-dependent) time delay in the evolution of populations, additional to the discarding of the initial transient regime of the population growth where these discreteness effects are strong. We show that the improvement in the estimation of the large deviation function comes precisely from these two main contributions.

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Cited in

(8)

• Discreteness induced extinction
• Limit theorems for cloning algorithms
• Dynamic properties of a discrete population model with diffusion
• Rare event simulation for stochastic dynamics in continuous time
• Complex discrete dynamics from simple continuous population models
• Breakdown of the finite-time and -population scalings of the large deviation function in the large-size limit of a contact process
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5172015 (Why is no real title available?)
• Inducement of population sparsity

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