Discussion of: Statistical analysis of an archaeological find

DOI10.1214/08-AOAS99GMaRDI QIDQ5971254zbMATH OpenWikidataFDO

Authors Randall Ingermanson

Publication date 30 April 2008

Published in The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0097

zbMATH Keywords

Bayes' theoremdistribution of namesJesus of Nazarethonomasticonstatistical inferenceTalpiot tomb

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to social sciences (62P25) History, political science (91F10)

Abstract: We critique the analysis by A. Feuerverger of an archaeological find [arXiv:0804.0079] that has been alleged by some to be the tomb of Jesus of Nazareth. We show that his analysis rests on six faulty assumptions that have been severely criticized by historians, archaeologists, and scholars in related disciplines. We summarize the results of an alternative computation using Bayes' theorem that estimates a probability of less than 2% that the Talpiot tomb belongs to Jesus of Nazareth.

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