Early detection of epidemics as a sequential change-point problem

MaRDI QIDQ5471834zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Michael Baron

Publication date 14 June 2006

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Sequential statistical analysis (62L10) Optimal stopping in statistics (62L15) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Epidemiology (92D30)

Recommendations

• Change-point detection in binomial thinning processes, with applications in epidemiology
• Tests for change-points with epidemic alternatives
• Testing epidemic changes of infinite dimensional parameters
• Semiparametric surveillance of monotonic changes
• A two-step sequential procedure for detecting an epidemic change

Cited in

(10)

• Detecting a trend change in cross-border epidemic transmission
• Estimating the incidence of an epidemic when it is first discovered and the design of early detection monitoring
• Detection and identification of changes of hidden Markov chains: asymptotic theory
• Change-point detection in binomial thinning processes, with applications in epidemiology
• On detection of a change in the dynamics of rare health events
• Semiparametric surveillance of monotonic changes
• Sequential detection framework for real-time biosurveillance based on Shiryaev-Roberts procedure with illustrations using COVID-19 incidence data
• Statistical methods for detecting the onset of influenza outbreaks: a review
• A series expansion formula of the scale matrix with applications in CUSUM analysis
• Quickest changepoint detection in general multistream stochastic models: recent results, applications and future challenges

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