Efficient uncertainty quantification and variance-based sensitivity analysis in epidemic modelling using polynomial chaos

DOI10.1051/MMNP/2022014MaRDI QIDQ5079575zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Bjørn Christian Skov Jensen, Allan P. Engsig-Karup, Kim Knudsen

Publication date 27 May 2022

Published in Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1051/mmnp/2022014

zbMATH Keywords

Covid-19epidemic modellingglobal statisticsSobol indicesuncertainty quantification

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30)

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• Uncertainty quantification of stochastic epidemic SIR models using B-spline polynomial chaos
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Cites work

• Mathematical Structures of Epidemic Systems
• Monte Carlo strategies in scientific computing
• Numerical methods for stochastic computations. A spectral method approach.
• Polynomial Chaos in Stochastic Finite Elements
• Spectral Methods
• The elements of statistical learning. Data mining, inference, and prediction
• The mathematics of infectious diseases
• The Wiener--Askey Polynomial Chaos for Stochastic Differential Equations

Cited in

(7)

• Bi-fidelity stochastic collocation methods for epidemic transport models with uncertainties
• Global sensitivity analysis in epidemiological modeling
• Uncertainty quantification of stochastic epidemic SIR models using B-spline polynomial chaos
• PC-based sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number of population and epidemic models
• Uncertainty quantification in simulations of epidemics using polynomial chaos
• Computational uncertainty quantification for random time-discrete epidemiological models using adaptive gPC
• Performing global sensitivity analysis on simulations of a continuous-time Markov chain model motivated by epidemiology

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• NumPy

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