Equilibrium and sensitivity analysis of a spatio-temporal host-vector epidemic model
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Abstract: Insect-borne diseases are diseases carried by insects affecting humans, animals or plants. They have the potential to generate massive outbreaks such as the Zika epidemic in 2015-2016 mostly distributed in the Americas, the Pacific and Southeast Asia, and the multi-foci outbreak caused by the bacterium {it Xylella fastidiosa} in Europe in the 2010s. In this article, we propose and analyze the behavior of a spatially-explicit compartmental model adapted to pathosystems with fixed hosts and mobile vectors disseminating the disease. The behavior of this model based on a system of partial differential equations is complementarily characterized via a theoretical study of its equilibrium states and a numerical study of its transitive phase using global sensitivity analysis. The results are discussed in terms of implications concerning the surveillance and control of the disease over a medium-to-long temporal horizon.
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Cited in
(6)- Time-scale analysis and parameter fitting for vector-borne diseases with spatial dynamics
- Analysis of a mathematical model arising in plant disease epidemiology
- Spatial models of vector-host epidemics with directed movement of vectors over long distances
- Modeling the Importation and Local Transmission of Huanglongbing Disease: Bifurcation and Sensitivity Analysis
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