Estimation of extreme risk regions under multivariate regular variation
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Abstract: When considering d possibly dependent random variables, one is often interested in extreme risk regions, with very small probability p. We consider risk regions of the form , where f is the joint density and a small number. Estimation of such an extreme risk region is difficult since it contains hardly any or no data. Using extreme value theory, we construct a natural estimator of an extreme risk region and prove a refined form of consistency, given a random sample of multivariate regularly varying random vectors. In a detailed simulation and comparison study, the good performance of the procedure is demonstrated. We also apply our estimator to financial data.
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- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5604036 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3332032 (Why is no real title available?)
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Cited in
(30)- Estimating asymptotic dependence functionals in multivariate regularly varying models
- A nonparametric method for producing isolines of bivariate exceedance probabilities
- Conditional Extremes in Asymmetric Financial Markets
- Testing the Multivariate Regular Variation Model
- Estimation of multivariate tail quantities
- Maximum likelihood estimation of elliptical tail
- Estimating extreme bivariate quantile regions
- Estimation of extreme depth-based quantile regions
- Algorithmic Learning Theory
- Asymptotic independence and support detection techniques for heavy-tailed multivariate data
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- Detecting influential data points for the Hill estimator in Pareto-type distributions
- Multivariate Hill Estimators
- Prediction Regions for Bivariate Extreme Events
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- Estimating failure probabilities
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- Testing for central symmetry
- Estimation of the tail exponent of multivariate regular variation
- Cross-validation on extreme regions
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- Statistical inference for max-stable processes by conditioning on extreme events
- Bridging centrality and extremity: refining empirical data depth using extreme value statistics
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