Evidence with uncertain likelihoods
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Abstract: An agent often has a number of hypotheses, and must choose among them based on observations, or outcomes of experiments. Each of these observations can be viewed as providing evidence for or against various hypotheses. All the attempts to formalize this intuition up to now have assumed that associated with each hypothesis h there is a likelihood function {mu}h, which is a probability measure that intuitively describes how likely each observation is, conditional on h being the correct hypothesis. We consider an extension of this framework where there is uncertainty as to which of a number of likelihood functions is appropriate, and discuss how one formal approach to defining evidence, which views evidence as a function from priors to posteriors, can be generalized to accommodate this uncertainty.
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- Extension of Conditional Probability and Measures of Belief and Disbelief in a Hypothesis Based on Uncertain Evidence
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Cites work
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3787826 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3560492 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 2046116 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3054843 (Why is no real title available?)
- Learning Under Ambiguity
- Probabilistic Algorithmic Knowledge
- Two views of belief: Belief as generalized probability and belief as evidence
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