Expectation thinning operators based on linear fractional probability generating functions

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Abstract: We introduce a two-parameter expectation thinning operator based on a linear fractional probability generating function. The operator is then used to define a first-order integer-valued autoregressive inar1 process. Distributional properties of the inar1 process are described. We revisit the Bernoulli-geometric inar1 process of Bourguignon and Wei{ss} (2017) and we introduce a new stationary inar1 process with a compound negative binomial distribution. Lastly, we show how a proper randomization of our operator leads to a generalized notion of monotonicity for distributions on �zp.












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