Forecasting Future Eruptions Using Hierarchical Trend Renewal Processes

DOI10.1080/00031305.2025.2540590MaRDI QIDQ7257325zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Ting Wang, Mark Bebbington

Publication date 4 June 2026

Published in The American Statistician (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2025.2540590

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Cites work

• Asymptotic equivalence of Bayes cross validation and widely applicable information criterion in singular learning theory
• Bayesian modelling of marked point processes with incomplete records: volcanic eruptions
• Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences
• Robust estimation for the Weibull process applied to eruption records
• Spectra of some self-exciting and mutually exciting point processes

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