Hierarchical probabilistic forecasting of electricity demand with smart meter data
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Cites work
- A distribution-free approach to inducing rank correlation among input variables
- Comparing density forecasts using threshold- and quantile-weighted scoring rules
- Copula based hierarchical risk aggregation through sample reordering
- Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series
- Forecasting time series with complex seasonal patterns using exponential smoothing
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3163305 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 2135362 (Why is no real title available?)
- Making and evaluating point forecasts
- Modeling and forecasting daily electricity load curves: a hybrid approach
- Modeling longitudinal data using a pair-copula decomposition of serial dependence
- On the distribution of sums of random variables with copula-induced dependence
- On the distributional transform, Sklar's theorem, and the empirical copula process
- Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series
- Optimal forecast reconciliation for hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization
- Optimized clusters for disaggregated electricity load forecasting
- Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness
- Probabilistic Weather Forecasting for Winter Road Maintenance
- Risk aggregation with empirical margins: Latin hypercubes, empirical copulas, and convergence of sum distributions
- Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling
- Using conditional kernel density estimation for wind power density forecasting
Cited in
(13)- Efficient probabilistic reconciliation of forecasts for real-valued and count time series
- A scalable preference model for autonomous decision-making
- Additive stacking for disaggregate electricity demand forecasting
- The seasonal forecast of electricity demand: a hierarchical Bayesian model with climatological weather generator
- Multiple model self-tuning predictor applied to power demand forecasting
- Fast Forecast Reconciliation Using Linear Models
- Probabilistic forecast reconciliation: properties, evaluation and score optimisation
- Probabilistic Forecast Reconciliation under the Gaussian Framework
- Optimal reconciliation with immutable forecasts
- Point and probabilistic forecast reconciliation for general linearly constrained multiple time series
- Optimal forecast reconciliation with time series selection
- Discrete forecast reconciliation
- Simplifying Random Forests’ Probabilistic Forecasts
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