Hybrid PDE ODE SEIR model

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Description

Hybrid model combining the PDE model and ODe model, by segmenting the modeling domain into a PDE part and an ODE part.

Contained entities
fraction of population density of exposed formulation e(x,0)=∑l~=1L~we(l~)G(l~)(x)
G(l~)(x) represents isotropic Gaussian function
e(x,0) represents fraction of population density of exposed
we(l~) represents density fraction coefficient
integral of the population density fraction of susceptibles (initial condition) ∫Ω(l)s(x,0)n(x)dx=𝒩̂l−(1+Σℰ)ℐ̂(l)−ℛ̂(l) initial condition
Σℰ represents coefficient scaling infectious to exposed
ℐ̂(l) represents number of infectious individuals
𝒩̂l represents total population size
ℛ̂(l) represents number of removed individuals
n(x) represents total population density
s(x,0) represents fraction of population density of susceptibles
integral of the population density fraction of infectious (initial condition) ∫Ω(l)i(x,0)n(x)dx=ℐ̂(l) initial condition
ℐ̂(l) represents number of infectious individuals
i(x,0) represents fraction of population density of infectious
n(x) represents total population density
integral of the population density fraction of exposed (initial condition) ∫Ω(l)e(x,0)n(x)dx=Σℰℐ̂(l) initial condition
Σℰ represents coefficient scaling infectious to exposed
ℐ̂(l) represents number of infectious individuals
e(x,0) represents fraction of population density of exposed
n(x) represents total population density
total population density formulation n(x)≡∑l~=1L~wn(l~)G(l~)(x)
G(l~)(x) represents isotropic Gaussian function
n(x) represents total population density
wn(l~) represents density fraction coefficient
integral of the total population density (initial condition) ∫Ω(l)n(x)dx=𝒩̂l initial condition
𝒩̂l represents total population size
n(x) represents total population density
Neumann boundary condition (SEIR model) s+e+i+r=1 boundary condition
e represents fraction of population density of exposed
i represents fraction of population density of infectious
r represents fraction of population density of removed
s represents fraction of population density of susceptibles
Allee effect 1−An+n0≥13 boundary condition
A represents Allee threshold
n represents population density
SEIR epidemiological ODE model
SEIR epidemiological PDE model
continuity of densities condition s1=s2e1=e2i1=i2r1=r2 initial condition
e1 represents fraction of population density of exposed in the PDE region
e2 represents fraction of population density of exposed in the ODE region
i1 represents fraction of population density of infectious in the PDE region
i2 represents fraction of population density of infectious in the ODE region
r1 represents fraction of population density of removed in the PDE region
r2 represents fraction of population density of removed in the ODE region
s1 represents fraction of population density of susceptibles in the PDE region
s2 represents fraction of population density of susceptibles in the ODE region
SEIR derivative relation νTD∇s=νTD∇e=νTD∇i=νTD∇r=0
D represents diffusion coefficient for SEIR model
ν represents unit outer normal vector
e represents fraction of population density of exposed
i represents fraction of population density of infectious
r represents fraction of population density of removed
s represents fraction of population density of susceptibles
rate of change of population density fraction of removed PDE ∂tr=div⁡(D∇r)+ϕii+ϕee
D represents diffusion coefficient for SEIR model
ϕe represents asymptomatic recovery rate
ϕi represents infected recovery rate
e represents fraction of population density of exposed
i represents fraction of population density of infectious
r represents fraction of population density of removed
t represents time
Homogeneous Neumann Boundary Conditions νTD∇s=νTD∇e=νTD∇i=νTD∇r=0
D represents mass diffusivity
ν represents unit normal vector
e represents fraction of population density of exposed
i represents fraction of population density of infectious
r represents fraction of population density of removed
s represents fraction of population density of susceptibles
fraction of population density of susceptibles formulation s(x,0)=∑l~=1L~ws(l~)G(l~)(x)
G(l~)(x) represents isotropic Gaussian function
s(x,0) represents fraction of population density of susceptibles
ws(l~) represents density fraction coefficient
fraction of population density of infectious formulation i(x,0)=∑l~=1L~wi(l~)G(l~)(x)
G(l~)(x) represents isotropic Gaussian function
i(x,0) represents fraction of population density of infectious
wi(l~) represents density fraction coefficient
rate of change of population density fraction of susceptibles PDE ∂ts=div⁡(D∇s)−(1−An+n0)s(βee+βii)
A represents Allee threshold
D represents diffusion coefficient for SEIR model
βe represents asymptomatic infection rate
βi represents symptomatic infection rate
e represents fraction of population density of exposed
i represents fraction of population density of infectious
n represents population density
s represents fraction of population density of susceptibles
t represents time
isotropic Gaussian function formulation G(l)(x)≡12πσ2exp(−||x−x0(l)||22σ2)
G(l)(x) represents isotropic Gaussian function
π represents Pi
σ represents variance
x0(l) represents center of province
number of susceptible individuals formulation 𝒮̂(l)=𝒩̂(l)−(1+Σℰ)ℐ̂(l)−ℛ̂(l)
Σℰ represents coefficient scaling infectious to exposed
ℐ̂(l) represents number of infectious individuals
𝒩̂(l) represents total population size
ℛ̂(l) represents number of removed individuals
𝒮̂(l) represents number of susceptible individuals
number of exposed individuals formulation ℰ̂(l)=Σℰℐ̂(l)
Σℰ represents coefficient scaling infectious to exposed
ℰ̂(l) represents number of exposed individuals
ℐ̂(l) represents number of infectious individuals
rate of change of population density fraction of infectious PDE ∂ti=div⁡(D∇i)+σe−ϕii
D represents diffusion coefficient for SEIR model
ϕi represents infected recovery rate
σ represents rate of becoming infectious
e represents fraction of population density of exposed
i represents fraction of population density of infectious
t represents time
rate of change of population density fraction of exposed PDE ∂te=div⁡(D∇e)+(1−An+n0)s(βee+βii)−σe−ϕee
A represents Allee threshold
D represents diffusion coefficient for SEIR model
βe represents asymptomatic infection rate
βi represents symptomatic infection rate
ϕe represents asymptomatic recovery rate
σ represents rate of becoming infectious
e represents fraction of population density of exposed
i represents fraction of population density of infectious
n represents population density
s represents fraction of population density of susceptibles
t represents time
continuity of fluxes condition ν1TD∇s1=ν1TD∇e1=ν1TD∇i1=ν1TD∇r1=0 initial condition
D represents mass diffusivity
ν1 represents unit normal vector
e1 represents fraction of population density of exposed in the PDE region
i1 represents fraction of population density of infectious in the PDE region
r1 represents fraction of population density of removed in the PDE region
s1 represents fraction of population density of susceptibles in the PDE region






Further links
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