Hypothesis testing for Markovian models with random time observations

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Abstract: The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for testing general hypothesis in a Markovian setting with random sampling. A discrete Markov chain X is observed at random time intervals au k, assumed to be iid with unknown distribution mu. Two test procedures are investigated. The first one is devoted to testing if the transition matrix P of the Markov chain X satisfies specific affine constraints, covering a wide range of situations such as symmetry or sparsity. The second procedure is a goodness-of-fit test on the distribution mu, which reveals to be consistent under mild assumptions even though the time gaps are not observed. The theoretical results are supported by a Monte Carlo simulation study to show the performance and robustness of the proposed methodologies on specific numerical examples.





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