Improving forecasts of imperfect models using piecewise stochastic processes

DOI10.1063/5.0242061MaRDI QIDQ6977405zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Mathew Dyson, Thomas Stemler

Publication date 28 May 2025

Published in Chaos (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0242061

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Ordinary differential equations (34-XX) Dynamical systems and ergodic theory (37-XX)

Cites work

• A guide to using shadowing filters for forecasting and state estimation
• Adapting the Number of Particles in Sequential Monte Carlo Methods Through an Online Scheme for Convergence Assessment
• Deterministic Nonperiodic Flow
• Ensemble forecasting
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• Indistinguishable states. I: Pefect model scenario.
• Indistinguishable states. II: The imperfect model scenario
• Low-rank statistical finite elements for scalable model-data synthesis
• Statistical finite elements for misspecified models
• Stochastic modelling: replacing fast degrees of freedom by noise.
• The statistical finite element method (statFEM) for coherent synthesis of observation data and model predictions
• Tidal flow forecasting using reduced rank square root filters

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